The Chicago White Sox (+110) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-135) on Friday, August 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The White Sox vs Guardians Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the White Sox are 61-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 63-55 ATS.
White Sox vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
White Sox vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Friday‘s matchup with 59.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 52 of his last 76 games (+25.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 56 of his last 78 games (+20.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 44 of his last 78 games (+15.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- Dylan Cease has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.90 Units / 54% ROI)
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 38 games (+15.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+14.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 28 games at home (+13.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 games at home (+12.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+12.50 Units / 51% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 64 of their last 119 games (+12.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 49 away games (+9.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 away games (+4.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 31 away games (+3.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 49 away games (+2.25 Units / 4% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 78 games (+9.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 99 games (+8.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 41 games (+7.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 35% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 54-64 against the Run Line (-10.5 Units / -7.47% ROI).
- 61-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.7 Units / -6.1% ROI
- 52-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.4 Units / -7.27% ROI
- 57-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units / 0.23% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 63-55 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 1.94% ROI).
- 63-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.05 Units / 6.17% ROI
- 55-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.5 Units / -4.23% ROI
- 55-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.4 Units / -4.16% ROI
Michael Lynn: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .390 (23-for-59) against Lance Lynn on inside fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .260 — second Percentile.
Lance Lynn has allowed a slugging percentage of .824 (28 Total Bases / 34 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .430 — first Percentile.
Lance Lynn has a strikeout rate of 43% (30 SO in 69 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Lance Lynn has not allowed a walk in his last 95 PAs against a LHH dating back to July 11st — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Triston McKenzie: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (76/228) against Triston McKenzie this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — seventh Percentile.
Triston McKenzie has allowed a BABIP of .223 this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .285 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .143 (16-for-112) against Triston McKenzie’s elevated fastball this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .223 — 92nd Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% (49/134) against Triston McKenzie in two-strike counts this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 10th Percentile.