White Sox vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 9
White Sox vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 9

The Chicago White Sox (+180) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-225) on Tuesday, April 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the White Sox are 1-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 8-2 ATS.

White Sox vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

  • White Sox starting pitcher: Mike Soroka 0-1, 5.07 ERA
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen 2-0, 2.32 ERA

White Sox vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

White Sox vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 62.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nicky Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.40 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Robbie Grossman has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+8.30 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.20 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Robbie Grossman has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+7.15 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Yoan Moncada has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.70 Units / 50% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Tanner Bibee has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+9.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Kole Calhoun has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+8.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Estevan Florial has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+8.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Kole Calhoun has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+6.95 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Tyler Freeman has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.90 Units / 49% ROI)

  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.13 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 away games (+6.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.84 Units / 27% ROI)

  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 76 games at home (+22.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 120 games (+6.20 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 62 games at home (+4.25 Units / 5% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 5-5 against the Run Line (-1.15 Units / -9.2% ROI).

  • 1-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.45 Units / -74.5% ROI
  • 2-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.1 Units / -53.51% ROI
  • 7-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.9 Units / 46.01% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 8-2 against the Run Line (+6.85 Units / 52.9% ROI).

  • 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.9 Units / 53.7% ROI
  • 5-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.45 Units / 4.05% ROI
  • 4-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.7 Units / -15.53% ROI

Guardians vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Freeman 0.5 +825 0.5 -1400
Grossman 0.5 +500 0.5 -750
Brennan 0.5 +850 0.5 -1600
Sheets 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000
Kwan 0.5 +1050 0.5 -2500

Guardians vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Soroka 2.5 -160 2.5 +125
Allen 4.5 -160 4.5 +125

Mike Soroka has a strikeout rate of just 4% (2 SO in 46 PAs) this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Mike Soroka has a strikeout rate of just 4% (2 SO in 46 PAs) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

Mike Soroka has not struck out any hitters in 21 PA’s vs left-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 15% (7/46) against Mike Soroka on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 31% — third Percentile.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 54% (19/35) against Logan Allen this season — tied for 13th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 90th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (6/36) against Logan Allen this season — tied for 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 14th Percentile.

Logan Allen has thrown inside pitches 49% of the time (30/61) with two-strikes this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .304 (7-for-23) against Logan Allen’s non-fastballs this season — 7th highest among in MLB; League Avg: .202 — 13th Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

  
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