The Chicago White Sox (+220) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-275) on Friday, May 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the White Sox are 6-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 17-14 ATS.

White Sox vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

• White Sox starting pitcher: Brad Keller 0-0, 0.00 ERA
• Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 3-1, 1.16 ERA

White Sox vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

White Sox vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 70.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+14.00 Units / 280% ROI)
• Andrew Vaughn has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+11.45 Units / 27% ROI)
• Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 27 games (+8.05 Units / 24% ROI)
• Eloy Jimenez has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+6.00 Units / 60% ROI)
• Andrew Vaughn has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.80 Units / 63% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+14.00 Units / 280% ROI)
• Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+12.90 Units / 41% ROI)
• Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+12.85 Units / 41% ROI)
• Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 29 games (+11.35 Units / 18% ROI)
• Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.80 Units / 45% ROI)

White Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.13 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.45 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 away games (+6.40 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.84 Units / 27% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets Today:

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 58 games (+5.80 Units / 9% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+5.50 Units / 21% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.82 Units / 37% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 92 games (+1.55 Units / 1% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 14-17 against the Run Line (-5.8 Units / -15.93% ROI).

• 6-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.6 Units / -55.33% ROI
• 15-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.6 Units / -1.8% ROI
• 14-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -7.03% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 17-14 against the Run Line (+1.65 Units / 3.92% ROI).

• 14-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.9 Units / -10.77% ROI
• 10-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.05 Units / -32.31% ROI
• 19-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.1 Units / 23.79% ROI

Cardinals vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Brad Keller has walked 104 of 836 batters (12%) since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Brad Keller has a strike rate of just 60% (1,915/3,183) since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (38/230) against Brad Keller on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Brad Keller has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 56% (331/595) of opposing batters since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 56% (10 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — best in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed an OPS of just .543 (324 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .670 — 100th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .285 (87 Total Bases / 305 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — 100th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .121 (27 Total Bases / 224 ABs) on sliders since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .398 — 100th Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

  
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