White Sox vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 17
White Sox vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 17

The Chicago White Sox (+310) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-400) on Saturday, August 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the White Sox are 30-93 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 60-61 ATS.

White Sox vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • White Sox starting pitcher: Chris Flexen 2-11, 5.37 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 10-7, 4.00 ERA

White Sox vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

White Sox vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 70.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 away games (+25.10 Units / 279% ROI)
  • Miguel Vargas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 17 games (+15.95 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Lenyn Sosa has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+15.70 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Luis Robert has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+11.50 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 33 games (+33.20 Units / 101% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 48 games (+15.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 48 games (+13.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Walks Over in 22 of his last 39 games (+12.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 46 games (+11.30 Units / 24% ROI)

  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 away games (+8.70 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 58 away games (+8.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 56 games (+5.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 37 away games (+3.25 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.85 Units / 32% ROI)

  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 62 of their last 104 games (+17.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 63 games (+12.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 48 games (+11.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 27 games (+10.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.95 Units / 34% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 53-70 against the Run Line (-22.9 Units / -15.62% ROI).

  • 30-93 when betting on the Moneyline for -50.65 Units / -40.15% ROI
  • 56-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.3 Units / -8.37% ROI
  • 61-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -0.04% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 60-61 against the Run Line (+0.1 Units / 0.07% ROI).

  • 65-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.25 Units / -4.83% ROI
  • 48-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -28.3 Units / -21.4% ROI
  • 70-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.95 Units / 12.63% ROI

Astros vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +250 0.5 -300
Shay Whitcomb (HOU) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Jose Altuve (HOU) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700

Astros vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mauricio Dubon (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Jake Meyers (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Astros vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +120 0.5 -160
Jeremy Pena (HOU) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Jake Meyers (HOU) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Jose Altuve (HOU) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Astros vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Hunter Brown (HOU) 6.5 -125 6.5 -105
Chris Flexen (CWS) 3.5 -105 3.5 -120

Chris Flexen has a strike rate of just 53% (79/148) this month (2 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.

Chris Flexen has located his pitches away 61% of the time (1,261/2,058) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Chris Flexen has a strikeout rate of just 33% (253 SO in 768 PAs) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.

Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .603 (211 Total Bases / 350 ABs) on fastballs since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: .443 — second Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hunter Brown has walked 18 of 129 batters (14%) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .414 (91-for-220) against Hunter Brown in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .323 — first Percentile.

Hunter Brown has a strikeout rate of 36% (47 SO in 131 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 90th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Hunter Brown this season is 383.6 feet — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 398.3

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
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