The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (1-1) visit Johnny (Red) Floyd Stadium to take on the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (1-1) on Sep. 14 in Murfreesboro, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
Western Kentucky is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee Over/Under is 54.5 total points.
Bet now on Middle Tenn State vs Western Kentucky & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Western Kentucky will win this game with 70.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Western Kentucky and Middle Tenn State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Middle Tennessee will cover the spread with 62.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Middle Tenn State vs Western Kentucky and all games with BetMGM
Get up to $1,500 First Bet Offer
Western Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Western Kentucky is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Western Kentucky is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Western Kentucky is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Western Kentucky is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Middle Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Middle Tenn State is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.15 Units / -100% ROI).
- Middle Tennessee is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Middle Tennessee is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Middle Tennessee is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Western Kentucky is 7-3 (.538) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .395
Western Kentucky is 12-6 (.667) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– 10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .416
Western Kentucky is 5-1 (.714) when not throwing an interception since the 2022 season– 9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .496
Western Kentucky is 5-1 (.714) when not throwing an interception since the 2022 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .594
Middle Tennessee is winless (0-10) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .358
Middle Tennessee is 1-4 (.200) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .496
Middle Tennessee is 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .398
Middle Tennessee is 1-3 (.250) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .495
Middle Tennessee’s RBs has 11 receptions in 2 games (5.5 per game) this season — T-12th-best among FBS RBs. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 11.5 receptions per game this season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.
Middle Tennessee has 46 receptions in 2 games (23.0 per game) this season — T-33rd-best among FBS skill players. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 11.5 receptions per game this season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.