Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6
Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (3-2) visit Joe Aillet Stadium to take on the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (3-3) on Oct. 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Ruston .

Western Kentucky is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).

The Western Kentucky vs. Louisiana Tech Over/Under is 60.5 total points.

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Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Western Kentucky will win this game with 66.5% confidence.

Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Western Kentucky will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Western Kentucky and Louisiana Tech, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.65 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.85 Units / 40% ROI)

  • Louisiana Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech has hit the Team Total Over in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.90 Units / 27% ROI)

Best Western Kentucky Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Western Kentucky players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Malachi Corley has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Davion Ervin-Poindexter has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Best Louisiana Tech Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Louisiana Tech players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Smoke Harris has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Cyrus Allen has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Hank Bachmeier has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Western Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Western Kentucky is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).

  • Western Kentucky is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Western Kentucky is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
  • Western Kentucky is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI

Louisiana Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Louisiana Tech is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Louisiana Tech is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -2.74% ROI
  • Louisiana Tech is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Louisiana Tech is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI

Western Kentucky is 9-1 (.818) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .449

Western Kentucky is winless (0-1) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .407

Western Kentucky is 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2021 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .550

Western Kentucky is 17-3 (.850) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– tied for 2nd-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .552

Louisiana Tech is 1-4 (.200) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2021 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .694

Louisiana Tech is 1-2 (.333) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2021 season– tied for 5th-worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .688

Louisiana Tech is 1-8 (.111) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– tied for 13th-worst in FBS; Average: .461

Louisiana Tech is 3-20 (.120) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .402

Louisiana Tech’s WRs has averaged 25.0 targets per game since the 2022 season — tied for 26th-highest among FBS WRs. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 14.7 receptions per game to WRs since the 2022 season — 20th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech’s WRs has 278 receptions in 18 games (15.4 per game) since the 2022 season — tied for 26th-best among FBS WRs. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 21.8 receptions per game since the 2022 season — 16th-worst among FBS defenses.

  
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