The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (3-1) visit Alumni Stadium to take on the Boston College Eagles (3-1) on Sep. 28 in Chestnut Hill, MA. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Boston College is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-115).
The Western Kentucky vs. Boston College Over/Under is 54.5 total points.
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Western Kentucky vs Boston College Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Boston College will win this game with 81.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Western Kentucky and Boston College, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Western Kentucky vs Boston College Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Boston College will cover the spread with 67.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Western Kentucky Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Western Kentucky has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Western Kentucky have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+1.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Boston College Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Boston College has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+12.15 Units / 70% ROI)
- Boston College has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+2.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- Boston College has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- Boston College has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Boston College has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Western Kentucky players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Western Kentucky Player Prop Bets Today
- Elijah Young has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Dalvin Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Boston College players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Boston College Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Thomas Castellanos has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 games (+4.55 Units / 71% ROI)
- Thomas Castellanos has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Lewis Bond has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Kye Robichaux has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Dino Tomlin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Western Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Western Kentucky is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI).
Boston College Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Boston College is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 68.18% ROI).
Western Kentucky is 10-4 (.714) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .597
Western Kentucky is 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .633
Western Kentucky is 5-1 (.833) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .685
Western Kentucky is 8-4 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .445
Boston College is 9-3 (.750) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .632
Boston College is 8-4 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .535
Boston College is 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .633
Boston College is undefeated (5-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .745
Boston College’s offense has thrown for 752 passing yards in 4 games (just 188.0 YPG) this season — 35th-worst among FBS offenses. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 249.5 passing yards per game this season — 28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Boston College has gained 752 yards on 47 receptions (16.0 YPR) this season — 8th-best among FBS skill players. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 15.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.