West Virginia vs Pitt Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3
West Virginia vs Pitt Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

The West Virginia Mountaineers (1-1) visit Acrisure Stadium to take on the Pittsburgh Panthers (2-0) on Sep. 14 in Pittsburgh, PA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

West Virginia is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-120).

The West Virginia vs. Pittsburgh Over/Under is 60.5 total points.

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West Virginia vs Pittsburgh Prediction:

The winning team model predicts West Virginia will win this game with 57.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both West Virginia and Pitt, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

West Virginia vs Pittsburgh Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Pittsburgh will cover the spread with 59.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • West Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+8.05 Units / 36% ROI)
  • West Virginia have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.05 Units / 23% ROI)

  • Pittsburgh have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for West Virginia players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best West Virginia Player Prop Bets Today

  • Traylon Ray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Jahiem White has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Garrett Greene has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Garrett Greene has hit the Passing Yards Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Hudson Clement has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Pittsburgh players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pittsburgh Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Rodney Hammond Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Daejon Reynolds has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Konata Mumpfield has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Gavin Bartholomew has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

West Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

West Virginia is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.25 Units / -100% ROI).

  • West Virginia is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • West Virginia is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • West Virginia is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Pittsburgh Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Pitt is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Pittsburgh is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 9.9% ROI
  • Pittsburgh is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.65% ROI
  • Pittsburgh is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.15 Units / -6.67% ROI

West Virginia is 6-2 (.600) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .478

West Virginia is 5-3 (.625) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-40th-best in FBS; Average: .497

West Virginia is 6-3 (.545) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-15th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .417

West Virginia is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2022 season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .561

Pittsburgh is 1-5 (.167) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-17th-worst in FBS; Average: .425

Pittsburgh is 3-7 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .448

Pittsburgh is 1-9 (.100) when intercepting no passes since the 2022 season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .334

Pittsburgh is 1-5 (.167) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .420

Pittsburgh’s QBs has thrown for 671 passing yards in 2 games (335.5 YPG) this season — 11th-best among FBS teams. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 270.5 passing yards per game this season — 20th-worst among FBS defenses.

Pittsburgh’s QBs has thrown for 671 passing yards in 2 games (335.5 YPG) this season — 11th-best among FBS teams. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 270.5 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

  
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