Seattle Seahawks at Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs (11-3) are trying to beat out the Bills for the No. 1 seed in the AFC and a first-round bye while the Seahawks (7-7), after a surprisingly great start to the season, are a half-game behind the Commanders for the NFC’s last wild-card spot.
MVP favorite Patrick Mahomes leads the NFL’s No. 1 offense at 429.4 yards per game. The Chiefs also have scored at least 24 points in their last eight games as they’ve gone 7-1 since their Week 6 loss to the Bills, but the problem is the No. 14-ranked defense allows opponents to stay in games as the Chiefs are only 2-6 ATS during that run with a loss to the Bengals and non-covering wins against the Titans, Chargers, Rams, Broncos and Texans.
The Chiefs are between 9.5- and 10-point favorites against a Seattle offense that still ranks No. 14 in the league at 349.6 yards per game behind a reborn Geno Smith. The Seahawks started the season 6-3 SU and ATS, but then a 21-16 loss to the Buccaneers in Germany in Week 10 started a downslide that’s resulted in them going 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS. They’re No. 29 in total defense and have allowed 25.6 points per game in those last five games to make them a risky proposition even if getting double-digit points.