Week 14 NFL: Previewing the New York Jets at Buffalo Bills matchup
Week 14 NFL: Previewing the New York Jets at Buffalo Bills matchup

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills 

After two consecutive losses, some were starting to ask what was wrong with the Bills. Now they have won three straight and are back on top in the AFC playoff picture. This shows how reactionary the NFL betting market can be. Even with these losses, the Bills still remained No. 1 or No. 2 in my power rankings and are currently No. 1 in DVOA per Football Outsiders.

The Jets are also rated higher in power ratings than the betting market. They lost and failed to cover (22-27, +3) in Minnesota last week but were clearly the better team as they gained nearly 500 yards (486) at 5.9 ypp. They went 1-for-6 in the red zone and were minus-2 in turnover margin and still had a chance to win at the end, which tells you how lucky Minnesota has been this season.

In Week 9, the Jets defeated Buffalo outright as double-digit underdogs, 20-17. Jets quarterback Zach Wilson actually outplayed NFL MVP candidate Josh Allen, but things change quickly in this league and Wilson finds himself on the bench watching his team being energized by Mike White.

The Jets are a top-10 team in overall DVOA (9th) and rate 4th on defense. The offense DVOA ranking of 19th clearly indicates that poor quarterback play from Wilson and Joe Flacco was holding this team back.

  
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By VSiN