Week 10 NFL Recap – Week 11 Betting Preview
Week 10 NFL Recap – Week 11 Betting Preview

NFL Betting Recap For Week 10

Football content contributor Ron Marmalefsky offers his NFL Week 10 betting recap as well as his lookahead to Week 11 of NFL kicking off on Thursday! What are his takeaways and look aheads from a betting perspective? Read below now!

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NFL Betting Recap For Week 10

As promised, this week's article is all about coaches. Part One covers coaches on the hot seat.

Part Two covers coordinators, both the good and bad. Part Three discusses Coach of the Year odds as of 11/15.

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NFL Head Coaches On The Hot Seat

Brandon Staley: Staley is 23-21 overall coaching the Chargers, but has greatly underachieved with a roster thought to be of top ten caliber.

His coaching style has been often criticized, with a noticeable lack of quality time management decisions, and a rash of mistakes in 4th down play calling. LA finally reached the playoffs in 2022, then blew a 27-0 lead vs. Jacksonville.

I expect LA to part ways with Staley if LA does not make the playoffs, or if they are one and done once in the playoffs.

Arthur Smith: Smith is 18-26 with Atlanta, and shows little to no understanding of how to adapt to the changing rules in the NFL, which favor aggressive offenses.

This is a run first team that is content to grind out first downs but never test opposing defenses until absolutely necessary. Worse than that, his defenses have always played passive, enabling average or better QB's to complete a high percentage of passes.

Last week Atlanta called 44 run plays and just 21 pass plays vs. Arizona, a team which had allowed an incredibly high 70% of passes to be completed. That was clearly the wrong game plan. Atlanta plays in the weak NFC South but has been unable to gain any traction. I don't think he will be back in 2024.

Matt Eberflus: Eberflus is 6-21 with the Chicago Bears. I personally do not fully evaluate coaches until they have had a full two years under their belt, but the Bears may think otherwise. I haven't seen anything special under his leadership, but as someone who studies the NFL draft in detail, he has received virtually no help from his bottom five draft team.

The Bears will have two very early 1st round picks in 2024. I'd lean to keeping Eberflus one more year, but that could change based on how his team looks for the rest of 2023.

Dennis Allen: Allen went 8-28 when coaching the Raiders, which was pitiful considering Hue Jackson (yes that Hue Jackson) went 8-8 with this team the year before he took over. He then took over here at New Orleans after proving his worth as their defensive coordinator. He's currently just 12-15 as Head Coach of the Saints.

This is a perfect example promoting someone who is just not suited to being the main man in charge. Allen's tenure is further complicated by the fact that he knows little about overseeing an offense, and his approach on this side of the ball is borderline tragic.

New Orleans was an annual playoff recipient with Sean Payton as their coach. Allen should be replaced before 2024.

Ron Rivera: Rivera is 26-33 as Washington's coach, with his best season being 8-8-1. He's consistently put his teams in position to win many a game, but lacks the creativity to get this team over the hump. In the past two seasons I witnessed too many instances where his 4th down decision-making was flawed.

I believe his coaching skill set is falling behind in this day and age. With new ownership in place, I expect a change.

I do not have Bill Belichick on this list, although I do believe there's enough noise about New England's performance to warrant some serious soul searching with regard to his future. Bill, the Head Coach is still quite good, but Bill, the GM has always been substandard, at least in regard to assessing rookie talent.

  
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