Week 10 college football power ratings and game spreads

MACTION IS BACK! The return of the MAC to Tuesday and Wednesday nights is something that we can all rally around and we have the potential for a real barnburner on Tuesday night between Buffalo and Ohio. We’ve also got some excellent games on Saturday, specifically in the SEC with Alabama vs. LSU and Georgia vs. Tennessee.

Now that we’re into November, there are a lot of things that cannot be quantified that will be part of the equation. There are already eight teams eliminated from having enough wins to be considered for a bowl game. We’ve seen coaches fired already, but more of them are going to be let go in the coming weeks. We’re also going to see some teams play more freshmen and sophomores in hopes of seeing what they’ve got for next season. Coaches may also need to throw players a bone to keep them from transferring.

It can be really hard to follow all of those developments, but one that shouldn’t be hard to follow is when a quarterback at a major program like Utah is not going to start. Virtually nobody knew that Cam Rising was going to be sidelined. Utah still won the game, but failed to cover. The NCAA doesn’t require the same transparency as other sports with regards to injury. Some coaches are an open book. Others are a diary with a complicated lock.

With regards to my process for updating power ratings, it is particularly challenging because the most important part of what I do is to compare my line with the closing line. The Utes line didn’t really have a lot of time to move because the shocking announcement about Rising didn’t really show up until right before kickoff. In another instance, we had a pretty good idea that Dequan Finn wasn’t going to play for Toledo, which drove that line down. But, I can’t very well adjust Toledo assuming Finn doesn’t play next week. That’s where the box score study and some early-week asterisks come into play.

The Rising incident won’t be the last. We’ll see a lot of teams tinkering with the QB position, especially as nagging injuries mount and the focus shifts to next season. You just have to stay on your toes as much as you can.

Here are my Week 10 Power Ratings:

Here are the Week 10 adjustments:

Up: Southern Miss + 1.5, Utah + 1, FIU + 2.5, East Carolina + 1.5, Illinois + 2, Missouri + 2, Tennessee + 5, Penn State + 1, Louisville + 3, Virginia + 1, Minnesota + 2.5, South Alabama + 2, Oklahoma + 2, Colorado + 3, Charlotte + 2, Fresno State + 6 (Haener return), UCLA + 1.5, Oregon + 1.5, Baylor + 2, Florida + 2, Hawaii + 2, Nevada + 2, Kansas State + 1.5, North Carolina + 2, Arkansas + 1.5, UConn + 2, Florida State + 2, Miami (OH) + 3 (Gabbert return), Temple + 2, Middle Tennessee + 2, San Diego State + 2.5, UCF + 2, Central Michigan + 2, NC State + 2, Iowa + 2, Kansas + 1.5, Alabama + 2

Down: BYU -1.5, Nebraska -1, Boston College -3.5, South Carolina -4, Kentucky -2.5, Georgia Tech -2, Ohio State -1, Wake Forest -2, Syracuse -2, Miami (FL) -1, Cincinnati -2.5, Pitt -2, Arkansas State -2, Iowa State -3.5, Arizona State -2, Rice -2, Stanford -3, Texas Tech -2.5, Navy -4 (QB Lavatai OFY), Wyoming -2, San Jose State -2.5, UTEP -2, Northern Illinois -1, Rutgers -3, Oklahoma State -2, New Mexico -2.5, LSU -2

Injury: Toledo -5 (if Finn out), UAB -4 (if Hopkins out), Utah -5 (if Rising out), Kansas State (-3 if Martinez out), UCF -4 (if Plumlee out), SMU -8 (if Mordecai out; Stone OFY) Tulsa -5 (if Brin out), Kansas -6 (if Daniels out), Utah State -3 (if Legas out), James Madison -6 (if Centeio out)

Some notes on the biggest adjustments:

Tennessee + 5: Tennessee obviously appears to be the real deal. That was a dominant performance offensively and defensively against a pretty good Kentucky team. I still have Georgia a little bit more of a favorite than the market, but have certainly given the Vols their due.

South Carolina -4: Another ghastly offensive performance from the Gamecocks may not allow me to fade them in future weeks as I talked about on our College Football Podcast. South Carolina has had some great special teams this season, but the offense is extremely inefficient. This team is -0.68 yards per play in SEC action. It’s been a lot of smoke and mirrors and last week’s loss to Missouri was a prime example of the regression likely to come.

Boston College -3.5: Losing by double digits to UConn is noticeable for any team. Doing so as a member of a Power Five conference makes it that much worse.

Iowa State -3.5: So, it seems that I’ve gone a little too far with Iowa State based on this week’s line, but the Cyclones made Oklahoma’s defense look good last week. Iowa State is 0-5 in Big 12 play and it’s clear that the losses of Breece Hall and others have caught up with this team.

Injuries: Fresno State went up six points with the return of Jake Haener; Navy went down four points with the loss of Tai Lavatai for the season. Plenty of QBs remain in the spotlight this week.

Here are my Week 10 spreads:

Date	Away	Home	My Line
11/1	Ball State	Kent State	-3.5
	Buffalo	Ohio	PK
11/2	Central Michigan	Northern Illinois	-6
	Western Michigan	Bowling Green	+ 0.5
11/3	UTEP	Rice	-4
	App State	Coastal Carolina	+ 5
11/4	Duke	Boston College	+ 7.5
	UMass	UConn	-16.5
	Oregon State	Washington	-4
11/5	Air Force	Army (N – Arlington)	+ 12
	UNC	Virginia	+ 10.5
	Michigan	Rutgers	+ 25.5
	Wake Forest	NC State	+ 4
	Florida State	Miami (FL)	+ 11.5
	Georgia Tech	Virginia Tech	-4
	Iowa	Purdue	-5
	Penn State	Indiana	+ 15
	James Madison (w/ Centeio)	Louisville	-6
	Syracuse	Pitt	+ 2
	Oklahoma State	Kansas (w/ Daniels)	+ 5
	Navy	Cincinnati	-20.5
	USF	Temple	-3
	Minnesota	Nebraska	+ 11.5
	Marshall	Old Dominion	+ 4.5
	Liberty	Arkansas	-15.5
	Michigan State	Illinois	-12
	Maryland (w/ Tagovailoa)	Wisconsin	-2
	Texas	Kansas State	+ 1
	Baylor	Oklahoma	PK
	Kentucky	Missouri	+ 5
	Ohio State	Northwestern	+ 38.5
	Western Kentucky	Charlotte	+ 17.5
	Oregon	Colorado	+ 30.5
	BYU	Boise State	-10.5
	Arizona	Utah	-18.5
	Colorado State	San Jose State	-23.5
	Hawaii	Fresno State	-29
	Washington State	Stanford	+ 5.5
	Cal	USC	-18
	Middle Tennessee	Louisiana Tech	+ 5
	UCLA	Arizona State	+ 11
	Florida	Texas A&M	-5
	Tulane	Tulsa (w/ Brin)	+ 4
	Houston	SMU (w/ Mordecai)	-5.5
	Troy	Louisiana	+ 6.5
	Georgia State	Southern Miss	-4
	South Carolina	Vanderbilt	+ 12
	Auburn	Mississippi State	-6.5
	Tennessee	Georgia	-10
	Texas Tech	TCU	-11.5
	UCF	Memphis	+ 6.5
	West Virginia	Iowa State	-1
	New Mexico	Utah State (w/ Legas)	-10
	UTSA	UAB (w/ Hopkins)	-4.5
Read Full Article       By VSiN Related Post College Football What Year Was the First College Football Game Played? BetMGM: The Roar College Football What College Football Coach Has the Most Wins? BetMGM: The Roar College Football Ohio State Football Betting Preview | Big Ten Odds and Projections WagerTalk You missed Soccer FC Shakhtyor Soligorsk vs FK Gomel Betting Odds, Free Picks, and Predictions (6/21/2024) CapperTek Soccer FK Slutsk vs FC Smorgon Betting Odds, Free Picks, and Predictions (6/21/2024) CapperTek Soccer Leiknir Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri Betting Odds, Free Picks, and Predictions (6/22/2024) CapperTek Soccer Dalvik-Reynir vs Grindavik Betting Odds, Free Picks, and Predictions (6/22/2024) CapperTek