Adam Burke shares his weekly college football power ratings
The first seven data points of the college football season were certainly interesting. Because there were only seven games, I have a golden opportunity to use those to outline my process and how I update my College Football Power Ratings on a weekly basis.
Here is my three-step process:
Compare my line to the closing line: Did the market move towards the number that I had on the game? Influential money and high volume create a pretty efficient line and a good indicator of where the two teams stand. How closely did it move towards my line?
Study the box score: Did the box score accurately reflect the final score? Were there turnovers at inopportune times, like deep in a team’s own territory or in the red zone? Was there a big yardage edge, particularly with yards per play? Did big special teams plays decide the game? Did a star player leave sometime during the game? Did the game play out to the betting market expectation?