We're looking at whether Golden State will emerge victorious on the road or if Philadelphia can get back in the win column at home with our Warriors vs. 76ers NBA player props based on the best NBA odds.
The Golden State Warriors beat the Brooklyn Nets on Monday to improve to 2-1 on this road trip, but Golden State is just 5-5 over the last 10. The team has sunk to the No. 11 seed in the competitive Western Conference with a 22-25 record.
Meanwhile, the Philadelphia 76ers are reeling after losing reigning MVP Joel Embiid to a meniscus injury. The team is just 1-6 over its last seven, and it heads into this matchup riding a two-game losing streak.
Philadelphia is just 4-11 straight up without Embiid this season, including a 1-3 record at home. Golden State is 13-13 at home and 9-12 on the road, but the Warriors are 2.5-point favorites at our best sports betting sites against the shorthanded Sixers.
Here are our best Warriors vs. 76ers NBA player props and NBA picks (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Warriors vs. 76ers NBA player props: Wednesday
- Tobias Harris Over 33.5 PRA (-106 via FanDuel) ????
- Jonathan Kuminga Over 20.5 points (-102 via FanDuel) ????
- Tyrese Maxey Under 28.5 points (-115 via bet365) ???
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Warriors vs. 76ers props
Tobias Harris has averaged 20.9 points, 5.7 rebounds, and 4.0 assists over his last 11 games, going for at least 34 PRAs in five, including two of his last three.
Harris posted only 29 PRA in his last game against the Dallas Mavericks, but he was not 100% due to an illness. With an additional day to recover, Harris should be trending in the right direction, health-wise.
On the season, he's averaged 25.9 PRA with Embiid in the lineup compared to 30.7 without him. Harris' shot attempts jump from 11.9 to 16.8 when Embiid sits, and he's scored at least 22 points in six of those games.
Harris posted 26 points, 10 rebounds, and two assists against the Warriors when these teams faced off in San Francisco last week, but Tyrese Maxey was unavailable.
However, Maxey's absence didn't skew Harris' numbers. In games played with Maxey this season, Harris averages 27.4 PRAs compared to just 24.6 when Maxey sits. Philly will need strong play from Harris if the team hopes to get back in the win column, so we'll take the Over here.
Kuminga has been on fire recently, and we're going to keep riding the hot hand until he gives us a reason to back off. He's averaged 24.9 points in 32.8 minutes across his last 10. In those contests, he's scored at least 21 points eight times and at least 20 points nine times.
The Sixers have allowed the 14th-most points per game to opponents this season (113.4), but over the last three, they've allowed the third-most at a whopping 126. Kuminga put up 26 points against Philly on Jan. 30 at home.
Klay Thompson's playing time is making headlines after he was left out of the closing lineup in Golden State's wins over Memphis and Brooklyn in two of the team's last three games.
Kuminga has been seeing plenty of run late in games, and according to StatMuse, he leads the NBA in fourth-quarter points over his last 10 games with 96. Over its last three, Philly has surrendered the third-most fourth-quarter points at 34.3.
No Joel Embiid should mean monster point totals for Maxey, right? Not necessarily. On the season, Maxey has averaged 25.8 points and 3.3 triples on 46.2% shooting with Embiid available compared to 26.3 points and 2.5 triples on 42.1% shooting without him. Maxey's scoring increase with Embiid on the sidelines is negligible, but his dip in efficiency is alarming.
Of those 12 games with Embiid on the sidelines, Maxey has put up at least 29 points only four times, and none of them have come at home.
Over his last 14 games, Maxey has hit this point total only three times. He's hit this in 15 of 45 games on the season, doing it seven times at home. Golden State allows the ninth-most points per game (118.4), but they've shown improvements on defense over their last three, allowing just 113.3 points, including 98 against the Nets on Monday.
This is a lofty total set at our best sports betting apps for Maxey given his recent play, so we'll take the Under.
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Warriors-76ers NBA player props made Wednesday at 7:05 a.m. ET.
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