W.Virginia vs Iowa St. Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 10

The West Virginia Mountaineers (3-5) visit Jack Trice Stadium to take on the Iowa State Cyclones (3-5) on Nov. 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Ames.

Iowa St. are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).

The Over/Under for W. Virginia vs. Iowa St. is 50.5 total points.

Bet now on Iowa St. vs W. Virginia & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

W. Virginia vs Iowa St. Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Iowa State will win this game with 59.0% confidence.

W. Virginia vs Iowa St. Spread Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Iowa State will cover the spread with 59.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both W.Virginia and Iowa St., plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • West Virginia have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.79 Units / 30% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 away games (+3.64 Units / 29% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+3.31 Units / 19% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 away games (+3.00 Units / 20% ROI)

  • Iowa State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 games (+2.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.85 Units / 41% ROI)

W. Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

W. Virginia has gone 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.45 Units / -5.08% ROI).

  • W.Virginia is 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.85 Units / -59.31% ROI
  • W.Virginia is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • W.Virginia is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

Iowa St. Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Iowa St. has gone 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / 0% ROI).

  • Iowa St. is 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.55 Units / -20.64% ROI
  • Iowa St. is 2-6 when betting the Over for -4.65 Units / -52.54% ROI
  • Iowa St. is 6-2 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 43.43% ROI

West Virginia is 4-12 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards — tied for 12th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .447

West Virginia is 3-10 (.231) when allowing 200 or more passing yards — 11th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .463

West Virginia is winless (0-8) when having a TD margin of -2 or worse since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .007

West Virginia is 3-8 (.273) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 13th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .435

Iowa State is winless (0-6) when allowing 22 or more points — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .300

Iowa State is winless (0-6) when allowing 22 or more points — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .283

Iowa State is 3-8 (.214) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for 14th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .358

Iowa State is 2-8 (.154) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush — tied for 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .339

Iowa State’s TEs has 116 receptions in 20 games (5.8 per game) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among FBS TEs. West Virginia’s defense has allowed just 18.4 receptions per game since the 2021 season — third-best among Big 12 defenses.

  
Read Full Article