The Western Michigan Broncos (1-2) visit Joan C. Edwards Stadium to take on the Marshall Thundering Herd (1-2) on Sep. 28 in Huntington, WV. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Marshall is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -3 (-115).
The Western Michigan vs. Marshall Over/Under is 54.5 total points.
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Western Michigan vs Marshall Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Marshall will win this game with 65.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both W Michigan and Marshall, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Western Michigan vs Marshall Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Marshall will cover the spread with 66.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Western Michigan is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .490
Western Michigan is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst in FBS; Average: .457
Western Michigan is 2-9 (.182) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 26th-worst in FBS; Average: .385
Western Michigan is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .395
Marshall is 3-9 (.250) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .422
Marshall is 3-8 (.273) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .444
Marshall is 3-6 (.333) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: .551
Marshall is 3-9 (.250) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-38th-worst in FBS; Average: .385