VSiN Analytics Report for Week 7
The following is a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the NFL games of Week 7. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each week’s NFL board.
NFL Odds | NFL Betting Splits | NFL Matchups
Strategies using NFL DraftKings Betting Splits data
One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors, is the Betting Splits pages. These pages we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us detailing the breakdowns of the money and ticket splits for point spreads, moneylines, and totals. In an article published in the 2023 NFL Betting Guide Part 2, Steve Makinen outlined 12 systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data developed in the 2022 season. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for this week’s games as of Wednesday. These can AND WILL change, so continue to track and qualify the systems until kickoff for best usage.
DK Betting Splits system #1: When more than 65% of the handle was on a particular side of an ATS wager, this majority group was just 35-53 ATS (39.8%). The number for this supermajority in college football was closer to 80%. In other words, if you see 2/3 of the handle backing one side in an NFL game this season, it’s best to fade it.
System Matches (FADE ALL): BUFFALO, DETROIT, CLEVELAND, TAMPA BAY, LA RAMS, SAN FRANCISCO
DK Betting Splits system #2: The percentage breakdown can be slightly expanded for the number of bets. When 63%+ of the number of bets were on a particular side of an ATS wager, this majority group was just 66-92 ATS (41.8%). The NFL is the most public of all bet-able sports. If 63%+ of the bettors at DraftKings likes a particular side, fade ‘em.
It's safe to assume you don’t want to be part of the supermajority of DraftKings bettors on ATS wagers.
System Matches (FADE ALL): JACKSONVILLE, BUFFALO, DETROIT, CLEVELAND, WASHINGTON, LAS VEGAS, TAMPA BAY, LA RAMS, GREEN BAY, SAN FRANCISCO
DraftKings bettors were at their absolute worst last season when analyzing divisional games:
DK Betting Splits system #3: In NFL divisional games of 2022, DK majority handle bettors were absolutely awful, as this majority group was just 36-64 ATS (36%). With the obvious generality that public bettors love favorites, it’s clear that they don’t’ value the stakes of these rivalry games and what they mean for the competitors.
System Matches (FADE ALL): BUFFALO, NY GIANTS, TAMPA BAY, ARIZONA, KANSAS CITY
DK Betting Splits system #4: Similarly to #3 above, when the majority number of bets staked its side in an NFL divisional game last year, this majority group was just 37-60 ATS (38.1%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): BUFFALO, WASHINGTON, TAMPA BAY, SEATTLE, KANSAS CITY
DK Betting Splits system #5: When the majority handle and the number of bets were on road favorites for an ATS wager, these majority groups were just 36-52 ATS (40.9%) & 35-53 ATS (39.8%), respectively. Both are losing propositions, and most often, these majorities match up.
System Matches (FADE ALL): BUFFALO, CLEVELAND, LAS VEGAS, GREEN BAY, SAN FRANCISCO
DK Betting Splits system #6: When the majority handle and number of bets were on road underdogs for an ATS wager, these majority groups actually produced winning records, 26-25 ATS (51%) and 34-32 ATS (51.5%) respectively. This matches somewhat with the logic I used to explain some college successes. When the public goes “against the grain,” they win. In this case, mildly.
System Match (SLIGHT PLAY): DETROIT
DK Betting Splits system #7: When the majority handle and number of bets backed a team in an ATS wager in the higher-profile, non-Sunday afternoon games, these majority groups were just 28-44 ATS (38.9%) and 29-44 ATS (39.7%) respectively. This set of games includes all the Thursday, Saturday, Sunday night (SNF), and Monday night contests.
System Matches (FADE): SAN FRANCISCO
DK Betting Splits system #8: In another rare winning record, when the majority of the handle backed the team with fewer season wins in a 2022 NFL game for an ATS wager, this majority group was 26-22 ATS (54.2%). This is another situation when going against the grain paid off.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): NEW ORLEANS, NY GIANTS, ARIZONA
DK Betting Splits system #10: When 56% or more of the handle was on the Under in an NFL game total, this majority group was quite sharp, 26-18 ATS (59.1%). This number for a supermajority in the NFL is quite low, evidence of how rarely the betting public bets the low side of a total. Incidentally, the same majority figure for the number of bets produced a 23-17 record.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): JAX-NO, BUF-NE, DET-BAL, CLE-IND, WAS-NYG, LVR-CHI, ATL-TB, ARI-SEA, GB-DEN, LAC-KC
DK Betting Splits system #11: Quite the opposite of #11, the magic mark for a supermajority on the handle for betting Overs was 64% or higher, and this group performed miserably last season with a record of 38-63 (37.6%). This has been a long-standing belief to me, but when the Over looks too obvious, it usually loses. On the number of bets, this same supermajority percentage produced a slightly improved 41-52 record.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): PIT-LAR, SF-MIN
DK Betting Splits system #12: Call this one the Over trap, but when a super-majority (>=64%) of handle was on the Over, and DraftKings moved the opening total lower throughout the week, this majority group lost big, going just 9-29 (23.7%). Almost as if they were trying to bait more people into taking the Over. This is a classic example of those behind the counter being smarter than those trying to cash the tickets.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER): SF-MIN
NFL Rookie/Re-Trend Coaching Systems
This material is from the VSiN piece entitled detailing systems that apply to rookie coaches Jonathan Gannon (Arizona), DeMeco Ryans (Houston), Shane Steichen (Indianapolis), as well as re-tread coaches Sean Payton (Denver) and Frank Reich (Carolina).
Rookie Coach Systems
In a trend that seems to make sense as far as familiarity is concerned, the more familiar the opponent, the less successful rookie head coaches have been. Divisional games 123-137-7 ATS (47.3%), These are not groundbreaking betting numbers by any means, but it could serve as a foundational concept that the more familiar the opponent, the less successful the rookie coach.
System Matches: FADE ARIZONA
Rookie head coaches have shown a tendency to start and finish their first season most successfully when it comes to covering point spreads. Since 2013, in Games #5-#12, they’ve gone 160-181-9 ATS (46.9%). Think of these trends when you see the schedules of the six rookie head coaches in 2023 released shortly.
System Matches: FADE INDIANAPOLIS, FADE ARIZONA
Rookie Coach Systems
Like the rookie head coaches, re-tread head coaches have been far more proficient at covering point spreads on the road over the last decade. In fact, their record in home games – 79-119 ATS (39.9%).
System Matches: FADE DENVER
Re-tread head coaches have shown a tendency to start very slow at their new franchises and finish their first seasons more successfully when it comes to covering point spreads. Since 2013, in Weeks #1-#10 of their first seasons, they’ve combined to go 89-143-7 ATS (38.4%),
System Matches: FADE DENVER
There seems to be a noteworthy trend of momentum that comes with these re-tread head coaches. Since 2013, when coming off a loss, the record has been just 94-133-8 ATS (41.4%).
System Matches: FADE DENVER
NFL rookie quarterback systems
These systems take into account rookie quarterback records in their first seasons. They include game logs of any rookie who started seven or more games in that first season. The starters out of the gate in ’23 include Bryce Young (Carolina), CJ Stroud (Houston), and Anthony Richardson (Indianapolis), although others could join them down the road.
NFL Rookie Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #10 – Losses have tended to snowball for rookie QBs
In their last 102 starts with their teams coming off outright losses, rookie QBs have gone just 34-76-1 SU and 46-64-1 ATS (41.8%). This trend dates back to 2018.
System Matches: FADE CHICAGO (+3 vs. Las Vegas)
NFL Extreme Stats Next Game Systems
These systems search for extreme statistical performances in NFL games and detail the results of the follow-up game for these teams.
NO QUALIFYING EXTREME STATS PLAYS THIS WEEK
TNF, SNF and MNF Team Trends and Systems for the NFL
The following trends and systems come from a log of all the Thursday night (TNF), Sunday night (SNF), and Monday night (MNF) games since the start of the 2019 season. Only Thursday night games were included in the TNF study, not the day games played on Thanksgiving. The Sunday night games only included those played on Sunday night, not all of the games covered by the NBC SNF crew, including some Wednesday and Saturday contests. The games analyzed were only regular-season games.
THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
- Since the home teams last won three straight ATS on TNF in September 2020, road teams have been on a roll, 28-24 SU and 32-18-2 ATS (64%) in the last 52.
System Matches: PLAY JACKSONVILLE
- There has been some interesting data regarding the first and second half of the season in terms of Thursday night games. In the first half of the season, or weeks 1-8, home teams have gone 19-17 SU but 10-24-2 ATS (29.4%). However, home-field advantage has picked up slightly in the second half of the season in recent years, with week 9-17 home teams going 14-17 SU and 15-18 ATS (75%) in that same time span. Going back even further, since 2016, TNF home teams in weeks 9 & later are 30-23 SU and 31-20-2 ATS (60.8%). There seems to be a fundamental edge to playing at home with less rest late in the season.
System Matches: FADE NEW ORLEANS ATS
- Unfortunately, home cooking has not solved the ills for Thursday home teams coming off a loss in their most recent game, as they have been a brutal bet over the last four seasons, going 19-27 SU and 16-29-1 ATS (35.5%).
System Matches: FADE NEW ORLEANS
UNDER the total TNF Team Trends
New Orleans 11-1 UNDER since TNF debuted in 2012
System Matches: PLAY UNDER in JAX-NO (o/u at 40)
SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
- Home favorites of less than a TD on SNF have gone the complete opposite direction, showing a record of 10-11 SU and 6-15 ATS (28.6%) in their last 21 after going 40-18-2 ATS prior.
System Matches: FADE PHILADELPHIA
- In SNF games pitting non-conference opponents (AFC vs. NFC), home teams are just 20-20 SU & 14-24-2 ATS (36.8%) in the last 40. UNDER the total is also 20-12 (62.5%) in the last 32.
System Matches: FADE PHILADELPHIA ATS, also PLAY UNDER in MIA-PHI
- SNF teams coming off of losses have proven not ready for the big time, as they have gone just 7-16 SU and ATS (30.4%) in their L23 tries against teams off a win.
System Matches: FADE PHILADELPHIA
- Momentum has been big for hosts overall, as home teams on SNF coming off a loss in their last games are just 10-14 SU and 9-14-1 ATS (39.1%) in their last 24, but those coming off a win are on a current 14-3 SU and 11-6 ATS (64.7%) surge.
System Matches: FADE PHILADELPHIA
- Strangely, the league’s highest-scoring teams have not fared well on SNF of late, as those scoring 30+ PPG are 10-6 SU but 3-13 ATS (18.8%) in their last 16 tries against teams not scoring that much.
System Matches: FADE MIAMI ATS
Good SNF Team Trends
Philadelphia 4-1 SU and 4-0-1 ATS in the last five
System Matches: PLAY PHILADELPHIA
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
- NFL home underdogs on Monday Night are on a run of 9-9 SU and 11-6-1 ATS (64.7%) dating back to September 2021. The last 16 of these games have seen Under the total go 14-1-1 (93.3%) as well, games producing just 34.6 PPG.
System Matches: PLAY MINNESOTA ATS, also PLAY UNDER in SF-MIN
- In non-divisional conference matchups on MNF, hosts are on an 12-12 SU and 16-8 ATS (66.7%) surge since 2019.
System Matches: PLAY MINNESOTA ATS
- Won/lost records have mattered on MNF, as teams with the better record are 28-20 SU but just 17-29-2 ATS (37%) in the last 48 MNF games, not matching teams with identical records.
System Matches: FADE SAN FRANCISCO ATS
Good MNF Team Trends
San Francisco 11-4 SU and ATS since 2012
System Matches: PLAY SAN FRANCISCO
UNDER the total MNF Team Trends
Minnesota is 10-2 UNDER in the last 12, including 8-1 on the road
System Matches: PLAY UNDER in SF-MIN
If you’ve picked up from each of the team trends sections that certain teams are consistently doing well or poorly or are going Over or Under regularly, you’re right. Here are some overall primetime game trends that you’re going to want to consider:
Bad PRIIMETIME (TNF, SNF and MNF) Team Trends
New Orleans 0-6 ATS skid at home
System Matches: FADE NEW ORLEANS ATS
UNDER the total PRIMETIME (TNF, SNF and MNF) Team Trends
Miami eight straight UNDERS
Minnesota 18-10 UNDER primetime record since 2015
Systems Match: PLAY UNDER in MIA-PHI and SF-MIN
Post-Bye Week Systems and Trends
The following systems and trends are from the long-running article series detailing pre- and post-bye week performance in the NFL. These records are from only in-season bye weeks and do not include playoffs or preseason.
Post-bye week system #1:
Play on ROAD FAVORITES coming out of their bye week. (Record: 103-42 SU and 88-55-2 ATS since 1999, 61.5%, +27.5 Units, 19.0% R.O.I., Grade 67)
System Matches: PLAY GREEN BAY ATS (-1 at Denver)
Post-bye week ROAD FAVORITE subsystems:
- vs. non-conference opponents. (Record: 31-13-1 ATS since 2000, 70.5%, +16.7 Units, 37.1% R.O.I., Grade 68)
System Matches: PLAY GREEN BAY ATS (-1 at Denver)
** Please note that the systems above and all of the following trends only include bye week games from the regular season schedule, not playoffs.
GREEN BAY Post-Bye Week Game: 10/22 at Denver
- Green Bay is 8-1 Under the total in the last nine post-bye week road games
System Matches: PLAY UNDER in GB-DEN
- The Packers are 12-4 Under the total in post-bye week games dating back to 2007
System Matches: PLAY UNDER in GB-DEN
PITTSBURGH Post-Bye Week Game: 10/22 at LA Rams
- The Steelers are on a six-game post-bye week game winning streak, as well as a three-game ATS winning streak in such games
System Matches: PLAY PITTSBURGH
- Pittsburgh is 6-1 Under the total in its last seven post-bye week games vs. NFC opponents
System Matches: PLAY UNDER in PIT-LAR
This week’s NFL Strength Ratings
The following are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NFL tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parenthesis).
This week's Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. JACKSONVILLE +1 (+0.8), 2. DETROIT +3 (+0.6), 3. NY GIANTS +2 (+0.2), 4(tie). NEW ENGLAND +9 (+0.1) and MINNESOTA +6.5 (+0.1)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1 (tie). SEATTLE -7.5 (+1.4) and LA RAMS -3 (+1.4), 3. KANSAS CITY -5.5 (+1.2), 4. CLEVELAND -3 (+0.9), 5. LAS VEGAS -3 (+0.4)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. ATLANTA +2.5 (+3.0), 2. JACKSONVILLE +1 (+2.0), 3. MINNESOTA +6.5 (+1.1), 4. INDIANAPOLIS +3 (+1.0), 5. MIAMI +2 (+0.8)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. LA RAMS -3 (+3.5), 2. SEATTLE -7.5 (+1.7), 3. GREEN BAY -1 (+1.3), 4 (tie). LAS VEGAS -3 (+0.6) and BALTIMORE -3 (+0.6)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. MIA-PHI OVER 52 (+2.8), 2. LVR-CHI OVER 37.5 (+1.9), 3. ATL-TB OVER 38 (+1.2), 4(tie). JAX-NO OVER 40 (+0.6) and CLE-IND OVER 40.5 (+0.6)
This week’s Top 4 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. LAC-KC UNDER 48.5 (-3.3), 2. DET-BAL UNDER 42 (-0.5), 3 (tie). ARI-SEA UNDER 45 (-0.1) and PIT-LAR UNDER 43.5 (-0.1)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. DENVER +1 (+3.3), 2. ARIZONA +7.5 (+3.1), 3. NEW ENGLAND +9 (+2.4), 4. ATLANTA +2.5 (+2.2), 5. PITTSBURGH +3 (+0.9)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. LAS VEGAS -3 (+2.5), 2. KANSAS CITY -5.5 (+1.7), 3. PHILADELPHIA -2 (+1.6), 4. BALTIMORE -3 (+1.2), 5. WASHINGTON -2 (+0.9)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. LVR-CHI OVER 37.5 (+5.3), 2. SF-MIN OVER 44 (+3.6), 3. CLE-IND OVER 40.5 (+3.3), 4. DET-BAL OVER 42 (+3.0), 5. GB-DEN OVER 45 (+1.8)
This week’s Top 4 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. WAS-NYG UNDER 39.5 (-1.8), 2. ATL-TB UNDER 38 (-1.2), 3. PIT-LAR UNDER 43.5 (-1.0), 4. ARI-SEA UNDER 45 (-0.6)
Top NFL Starting Quarterback Betting Trends
Here are 19 top betting trends detailing various quarterback performance records in situations as a starter:
* Jared Goff (DET) is 16-19 SU but 25-10 ATS (71.4%) with current head coach Dan Campbell. The average line was +3.9, Team average PF: 23.0
System Matches: PLAY DETROIT ATS (+3 at Baltimore)
* Jalen Hurts (PHI) is 14-1 SU and 10-4-1 ATS (71.4%) as a home favorite. The average line was -7.8, Team average PF: 30.9
System Matches: PLAY PHILADELPHIA (-2 vs Miami)
* Derek Carr (NO) is 29-23 SU and 16-33-1 ATS (32.7%) as a favorite. The average line was -3.9, Team average PF: 23.3
System Matches: FADE NEW ORLEANS (-1 vs Jacksonville)
* Justin Fields (CHI) is 4-21 SU and 6-18-1 ATS (25%) in Sunday games. The average line was +4.8, Team average PF: 18.5
System Matches: FADE CHICAGO (+3 vs Las Vegas)
* Trevor Lawrence (JAC) is 2-9 SU and ATS (18.2%) in non-conference games. The average line was +4.5, Team average PF: 17.1
System Matches: FADE JACKSONVILLE (+1 at New Orleans)
Top NFL Team Situational Trends
These are some of the top situational trends that have developed with teams in recent years of action:
* ARIZONA is 7-14 ATS (33.3%) vs. divisional opponents since 2020
* ARIZONA is 22-16 ATS (57.9%) in road/neutral games since 2019
* ARIZONA is 16-11 ATS (59.3%) as an underdog since 2021
System Matches: 2 PLAYs, 1 FADE of ARIZONA (+7.5 at Seattle)
* BALTIMORE is 40-52 ATS (43.5%) as a favorite since 2015
System Matches: FADE BALTIMORE (-3 vs Detroit)
* BUFFALO is 23-15 ATS (60.5%) in road/neutral games since 2019
System Matches: PLAY BUFFALO (-9 at New England)
* CHICAGO is 14-28 ATS (33.3%) when coming off SU loss since 2019
* CHICAGO is 17-34 ATS (33.3%) as an underdog since 2019
System Matches: FADE CHICAGO (+3 vs Las Vegas)
* CLEVELAND is 14-27 ATS (34.1%) as a favorite since 2017
System Matches: FADE CLEVELAND (-3 at Indianapolis)
* DENVER is 84-53 UNDER the total (61.3%) since 2015
System Matches: PLAY UNDER in GB-DEN (o/u at 45)
* DETROIT is 28-11 ATS (71.8%) overall since 2021
System Matches: PLAY DETROIT (+3 at Baltimore)
* GREEN BAY is 18-10 ATS (64.3%) when coming off SU loss since 2018
System Matches: PLAY GREEN BAY (-1 at Denver)
* JACKSONVILLE is 8-31 ATS (20.5%) vs. non-conference foes since 2014
* JACKSONVILLE is 25-16 UNDER the total (61%) since 2021
System Matches: FADE JACKSONVILLE (+1 at New Orleans), also PLAY UNDER in JAX-NO (o/u at 40)
* KANSAS CITY is 7-12 ATS (36.8%) vs. divisional opponents since 2020
System Matches: FADE KANSAS CITY (-5.5 vs LA Chargers)
* LA CHARGERS are 13-7 ATS (65%) as an underdog since 2020
System Matches: PLAY LA CHARGERS (+5.5 at Kansas City)
* LA RAMS are 9-15 ATS (37.5%) vs. non-conference foes since 2018
* LA RAMS are 37-24 UNDER the total (60.7%) since 2020
System Matches: FADE LA RAMS (-3 vs Pittsburgh), also PLAY UNDER in PIT-LAR (o/u at 43.5)
* LAS VEGAS is 12-18 ATS (40%) as a favorite since 2019
* LAS VEGAS is 29-43 ATS (40.3%) in road/neutral games since 2015
System Matches: FADE LAS VEGAS (-3 at Chicago)
* MIAMI is 25-14 ATS (64.1%) vs. non-conference foes since 2014
* MIAMI is 48-31 ATS (60.8%) as an underdog since 2014
System Matches: PLAY MIAMI (+2 at Philadelphia)
* MINNESOTA is 13-24 ATS (35.1%) when coming off SU win since 2019
* MINNESOTA is 10-19 ATS (34.5%) at home since 2020
* MINNESOTA is 44-30 OVER the total (59.5%) since 2019
System Matches: FADE MINNESOTA (+6.5 vs San Francisco), also PLAY OVER in SF-MIN (o/u at 44)
* NEW ENGLAND is 5-14 ATS (26.3%) as an underdog since 2021
System Matches: FADE NEW ENGLAND (+9 vs Buffalo)
* NEW ORLEANS is 22-14 ATS (61.1%) when coming off SU loss since 2018
* NEW ORLEANS is 18-33 ATS (35.3%) at home since 2017
System Matches: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of NEW ORLEANS (-1 vs Jacksonville)
* NY GIANTS are 38-17 UNDER the total (69.1%) since 2020
System Matches: PLAY UNDER in WAS-NYG (o/u at 39.5)
* PHILADELPHIA is 12-22 ATS (35%) when coming off SU loss since 2018
System Matches: FADE PHILADELPHIA (-2 vs Miami)
* PITTSBURGH is 85-56 UNDER the total (60.3%) since 2015
* PITTSBURGH is 27-13 ATS (67.5%) as an underdog since 2018
System Matches: PLAY PITTSBURGH (+3 at LA Rams), also PLAY UNDER in PIT-LAR (o/u at 43.5)
* SEATTLE is 29-17 ATS (63%) when coming off SU loss since 2015
System Matches: PLAY SEATTLE (-7.5 vs Arizona)
* TAMPA BAY is 19-31 ATS (38%) when coming off SU loss since 2016
* TAMPA BAY is 31-43 ATS (41.9%) at home since 2014
* TAMPA BAY is 28-42 ATS (40%) as a favorite since 2014
System Matches: FADE TAMPA BAY (-2.5 vs Atlanta)
* WASHINGTON is 16-8 ATS (66.7%) when coming off SU win since 2019
* WASHINGTON is 13-22 ATS (37.1%) vs. divisional opponents since 2017
* WASHINGTON is 34-21 UNDER the total (61.8%) since 2020
System Matches: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of WASHINGTON (-2 at NY Giants), also PLAY UNDER in WAS-NYG (o/u at 39.5)
Top NFL Head-to-Head Series Trends
These are the top head-to-head series trends between teams from recent years’ action:
Jacksonville at New Orleans
NEW ORLEANS has won the last five ATS vs. Jacksonville
System Matches: PLAY NEW ORLEANS ATS
Arizona at Seattle
Underdogs are 13-2-1 ATS in the last 16 games of the ARI-SEA rivalry
System Matches: PLAY ARIZONA ATS
Atlanta at Tampa Bay
Over the total is 11-3 in the last 14 games of the ATL-TB series
System Matches: PLAY OVER the total
Buffalo at New England
BUFFALO has won the last five ATS at New England
System Matches: PLAY BUFFALO ATS
Cleveland at Indianapolis
Home teams have won the last four ATS in the CLE-IND series
System Matches: PLAY INDIANAPOLIS ATS