The Virginia Cavaliers (2-1) visit Brooks Stadium to take on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (3-0) on Sep. 21 in Conway, SC. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:00pm EDT.
Virginia is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Virginia vs. Coastal Carolina Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
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Virginia vs Coastal Carolina Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Virginia will win this game with 59.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Virginia and Coastal Carolina, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Virginia vs Coastal Carolina Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Coastal Carolina will cover the spread with 58.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Virginia Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+9.45 Units / 183% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+8.05 Units / 76% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- Virginia have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)
Coastal Carolina Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Coastal Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+6.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Coastal Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- Coastal Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- Coastal Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.75 Units / 49% ROI)
- Coastal Carolina have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.55 Units / 18% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Virginia players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Virginia Player Prop Bets Today
- Kobe Pace has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tony Muskett has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tony Muskett has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 47% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Coastal Carolina players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Coastal Carolina Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Braydon Bennett has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Ethan Vasko has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Ethan Vasko has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jameson Tucker has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Virginia is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -3.03% ROI).
- Virginia is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 4.48% ROI
- Virginia is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Virginia is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Coastal Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Coastal Carolina is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Coastal Carolina is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 27.62% ROI
- Coastal Carolina is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Coastal Carolina is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Virginia is 2-6 (.250) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: .497
Virginia is 3-10 (.231) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 36th-worst in FBS; Average: .426
Virginia is 1-8 (.111) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .408
Virginia is 1-9 (.091) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2022 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .497
Coastal Carolina is 6-3 (.667) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .497
Coastal Carolina is 9-1 (.750) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .512
Coastal Carolina is 6-2 (.545) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .343
Coastal Carolina is 12-5 (.632) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .508
Coastal Carolina’s offense has thrown for 540 passing yards in 3 games (just 180.0 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS offenses. Virginia’s defense has allowed 258.7 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among ACC defenses.
Coastal Carolina’s QBs has thrown for 540 passing yards in 3 games (just 180.0 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS teams. Virginia’s defense has allowed 258.7 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among ACC defenses.