The Minnesota Vikings (4-1) visit Hard Rock Stadium to take on the Miami Dolphins (3-2) on Oct. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Miami Gardens.
The Vikings are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Vikings vs. Dolphins Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.
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Vikings vs. Dolphins Prediction for Week 6
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this Week 6 game with 65.8% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread this Week 6 with 58.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Vikings and Dolphins, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Vikings Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Vikings players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jalen Reagor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.35 Units / 48% ROI)
- Alexander Mattison has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 93% ROI)
- K.J. Osborn has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.35 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jalen Reagor has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- K.J. Osborn has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.50 Units / 34% ROI)
Best Dolphins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Dolphins players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Myles Gaskin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.75 Units / 62% ROI)
- Tua Tagovailoa has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- Myles Gaskin has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- Teddy Bridgewater has hit the Passing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- Myles Gaskin has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.10 Units / 71% ROI)
Vikings Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+6.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
Dolphins Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the Moneyline in their last 8 games at home (+12.20 Units / 82% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+5.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.60 Units / 33% ROI)
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings have gone 1-4 (-3.5 Units / -62.5% ROI).
- Vikings are 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 27.4% ROI
- Vikings are 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
- Vikings are 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / ROI
Dolphins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Dolphins have gone 3-2 (+0.8 Units / 14.29% ROI).
- Dolphins are 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 24.8% ROI
- Dolphins are 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Dolphins are 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Dolphins
The Vikings are undefeated (4-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .551.
The Vikings are 3-1 (.750) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties this season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .521.
The Vikings are 4-2 (.667) when allowing less than 7 explosive plays since the 2021 season — tied for 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .580.
The Vikings are 2-5 (.286) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2021 season — tied for 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .415.
Miami Dolphins: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Dolphins were 6-1 (.857) vs bottom 10 run defenses last season — 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .635.
The Dolphins are 3-1 (.750) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties this season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .521.