The Minnesota Vikings (6-1) visit FedExField to take on the Washington Commanders (4-4) on Nov. 6. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Landover.
The Vikings are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Vikings vs. Commanders Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.
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Vikings vs. Commanders Prediction for Week 9
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this Week 9 game with 65.8% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread this Week 9 with 55.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Vikings and Commanders, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Vikings Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Vikings players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- K.J. Osborn has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- K.J. Osborn has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.95 Units / 60% ROI)
- Alexander Mattison has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- Irv Smith has hit the Receptions Over in his last 4 games (+4.45 Units / 102% ROI)
- Jalen Reagor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.35 Units / 39% ROI)
Best Commanders Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Commanders players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Antonio Gibson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Curtis Samuel has hit the Receptions Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.15 Units / 91% ROI)
- J.D. McKissic has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- Carson Wentz has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+3.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Taylor Heinicke has hit the Interceptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
Vikings Team Props for Week 9:
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.70 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 4Q Spread in their last 8 games (+8.35 Units / 98% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.00 Units / 30% ROI)
Commanders Team Props for Week 9:
- The Washington Commanders have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.05 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+5.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.85 Units / 54% ROI)
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings have gone 3-4 (-1.5 Units / -19.23% ROI).
- Vikings are 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 34.13% ROI
- Vikings are 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
- Vikings are 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / ROI
Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders have gone 4-4 (-0.4 Units / -4.49% ROI).
- Commanders are 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 9.44% ROI
- Commanders are 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- Commanders are 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders
The Vikings are undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .570.
The Vikings are undefeated (3-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .427.
The Vikings are undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .556.
The Vikings are 6-1 (.857) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .594.
Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Commanders are undefeated (4-0) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .594.