The Vanderbilt Commodores (3-6) visit Kroger Field to take on the Kentucky Wildcats (6-3) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Lexington.
Kentucky are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-110).
The Over/Under for Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky is 48 total points.
Bet now on Kentucky vs Vanderbilt & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Vanderbilt vs Kentucky Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this game with 71.8% confidence.
Vanderbilt vs Kentucky Spread Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 69.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Vanderbilt and Kentucky, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Kentucky Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Kentucky players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Chris Rodriguez Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Tayvion Robinson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Dane Key has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Will Levis has hit the TD Passes Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+2.50 Units / 26% ROI)
Vanderbilt Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Vanderbilt has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- Vanderbilt has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 48% ROI)
- Vanderbilt have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Vanderbilt has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Vanderbilt have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 27% ROI)
Kentucky Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 72% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+7.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- Kentucky have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- Kentucky have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.85 Units / 23% ROI)
Vanderbilt Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Vanderbilt has gone 3-6 against the spread this college football season (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Vanderbilt is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.9 Units / -4.88% ROI
- Vanderbilt is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Vanderbilt is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kentucky has gone 6-3 against the spread this college football season (+2.65 Units / 26.63% ROI).
- Kentucky is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 11.23% ROI
- Kentucky is 1-8 when betting the Over for -7.8 Units / -78.79% ROI
- Kentucky is 8-1 when betting the Under for +6.9 Units / 69.7% ROI
Vanderbilt is winless (0-10) when rushing more than 30 times — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .447
Vanderbilt is winless (0-15) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2020 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .465
Vanderbilt is winless (0-8) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .497
Vanderbilt is winless (0-14) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .435
#19 Kentucky is 12-2 (.750) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .511
#19 Kentucky is 1-6 (.143) when allowing 22 or more points — tied for 14th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .301
#19 Kentucky is undefeated (5-0) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush — 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .501
#19 Kentucky is 8-5 (.571) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — tied for 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .376