The Vanderbilt Commodores (2-4) visit Ben Hill Griffin Stadium to take on the Florida Gators (3-2) on Oct. 7 in Gainesville.
Florida is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -18.5 (-110).
The Vanderbilt vs. Florida Over/Under is 52 total points.
Bet now on Florida vs Vanderbilt & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Vanderbilt vs Florida Prediction for Week 6
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Florida will win this game with 90.1% confidence.
Vanderbilt vs Florida Spread Prediction for Week 6
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Vanderbilt will cover the spread with 62.8% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Vanderbilt and Florida, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Bet now on Florida vs Vanderbilt and all games with BetMGM
Get up to $1,500 First Bet Offer
Vanderbilt Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Vanderbilt has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+4.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Vanderbilt has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 11 games (+2.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- Vanderbilt has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Vanderbilt has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Vanderbilt has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.70 Units / 28% ROI)
Florida Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Florida have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.15 Units / 91% ROI)
- Florida has hit the Team Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Florida has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.40 Units / 7% ROI)
- Florida has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.10 Units / 6% ROI)
Best Vanderbilt Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Vanderbilt players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jayden McGowan has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- AJ Swann has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- AJ Swann has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- Will Sheppard has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Patrick Smith has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Best Florida Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Florida players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Montrell Johnson Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Graham Mertz has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Ricky Pearsall has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Graham Mertz has hit the Passing Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Trevor Etienne has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.55 Units / 30% ROI)
Vanderbilt Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Vanderbilt is 0-6 against the spread this college football season (-6.6 Units / -100% ROI).
- Vanderbilt is 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -29.63% ROI
- Vanderbilt is 6-0 when betting the Over for +6 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Vanderbilt is 0-6 when betting the Under for -6.6 Units / -100% ROI
Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Florida is 1-4 against the spread this college football season (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI).
- Florida is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 1.63% ROI
- Florida is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Florida is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
Vanderbilt is 1-18 (.038) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .352
Vanderbilt is 1-15 (.062) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 2nd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .422
Vanderbilt is 1-17 (.056) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .399
Vanderbilt is 1-17 (.056) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .388
Florida is 3-11 (.214) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .495
Florida is 2-12 (.133) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .331
Florida is 3-15 (.167) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2021 season– tied for 34th-worst in FBS; Average: .289
Florida is 2-8 (.200) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– tied for 13th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .438
Florida’s TEs has 19 receptions in 5 games (3.8 per game) this season — third-best among SEC TEs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 21.8 receptions per game this season — fifth-worst among SEC defenses.
Florida has gained 4,145 yards on 312 receptions (13.3 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for 19th-best among FBS skill players. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — tied for fifth-worst among P5 defenses.