The UTSA Roadrunners (1-1) visit Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium to take on the Texas Longhorns (2-0) on Sep. 14 in Austin, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
Texas is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -35.5 (-110).
The UTSA vs. Texas Over/Under is 53.5 total points.
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UTSA vs Texas Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UTSA and Texas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UTSA vs Texas Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UTSA will cover the spread with 83.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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UTSA Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UTSA has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.05 Units / 65% ROI)
- UTSA has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- UTSA has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+3.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- UTSA has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+3.25 Units / 5% ROI)
Texas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+10.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- Texas has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+7.60 Units / 5% ROI)
- Texas have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.65 Units / 18% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for UTSA players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best UTSA Player Prop Bets Today
- Kevorian Barnes has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Devin McCuin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texas Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Quinn Ewers has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Quinn Ewers has hit the Passing Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 44% ROI)
UTSA Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UTSA is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- UTSA is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- UTSA is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.44% ROI
- UTSA is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.05 Units / -2.33% ROI
Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 86.96% ROI).
- Texas is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 40.82% ROI
- Texas is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Texas is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
UTSA is undefeated (5-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .394
UTSA is 9-1 (.900) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .515
UTSA is 6-1 (.857) when not throwing an interception since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .489
UTSA is 5-2 (.714) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .495
Texas is undefeated (9-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .497
Texas is undefeated (5-0) when converting more than 50% of third down conversions since the 2022 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .439
Texas is undefeated (10-0) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .438
Texas is 10-2 (.714) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .390
Texas’s offense has thrown for 601 passing yards in 2 games (300.5 YPG) this season — 26th-best among FBS offenses. UTSA’s defense has allowed 255.5 passing yards per game this season — 29th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.9% of 69 attempts this season — 20th-best among FBS offenses. UTSA’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 16.4% of attempts this season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.