UTSA vs North Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 10

The UTSA Roadrunners (5-3) visit DATCU Stadium to take on the North Texas Mean Green (3-5) on Nov. 4 in Denton.

UTSA is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The UTSA vs. North Texas Over/Under is 71.5 total points.

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UTSA vs North Texas Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UTSA will win this game with 69.3% confidence.

UTSA vs North Texas Spread Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UTSA will cover the spread with 70.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both UTSA and North Texas, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • UTSA has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+3.35 Units / 6% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.90 Units / 38% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.80 Units / 23% ROI)

  • North Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+3.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.05 Units / 55% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 55% ROI)

Best UTSA Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for UTSA players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Joshua Cephus has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kevorian Barnes has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Frank Harris has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Frank Harris has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Chris Carpenter has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Best North Texas Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for North Texas players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Roderic Burns has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Ikaika Ragsdale has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

UTSA Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UTSA is 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.5 Units / -28.25% ROI).

  • UTSA is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.17% ROI
  • UTSA is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -15.91% ROI
  • UTSA is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 7.95% ROI

North Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

North Texas is 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI).

  • North Texas is 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -45.67% ROI
  • North Texas is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • North Texas is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

UTSA is 22-3 (.759) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .429

UTSA is 12-4 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2021 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .388

UTSA is 14-4 (.778) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .420

UTSA is 22-3 (.688) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .448

North Texas is 4-9 (.308) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– tied for 18th-worst in FBS; Average: .494

North Texas is 4-15 (.211) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– 22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .384

North Texas is 4-10 (.250) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– tied for 30th-worst in FBS; Average: .402

North Texas is 2-9 (.182) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2022 season– 19th-worst in FBS; Average: .389

North Texas’s QBs has thrown for 2,032 passing yards in 7 games (290.3 YPG) this season — 18th-best among FBS teams. UTSA’s defense has allowed 243.6 passing yards per game this season — 34th-worst among FBS defenses.

North Texas’s offense has thrown for 5,699 passing yards in 21 games (271.4 YPG) since the 2022 season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. UTSA’s defense has allowed 243.5 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 35th-worst among FBS defenses.

  
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