The UTEP Miners (0-2) visit Williams Stadium to take on the Liberty Flames (2-0) on Sep. 14 in Lynchburg, VA. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT.
Liberty is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -23.5 (-105).
The UTEP vs. Liberty Over/Under is 57.5 total points.
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UTEP vs Liberty Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Liberty will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UTEP and Liberty, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UTEP vs Liberty Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UTEP will cover the spread with 81.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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UTEP Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UTEP has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 50% ROI)
- UTEP has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- UTEP has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- UTEP have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- UTEP have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.60 Units / 10% ROI)
Liberty Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Liberty has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+11.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+3.00 Units / 23% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for UTEP players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best UTEP Player Prop Bets Today
- Cade McConnell has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Liberty players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Liberty Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Kaidon Salter has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kaidon Salter has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Billy Lucas has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kaidon Salter has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Treon Sibley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
UTEP Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UTEP is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- UTEP is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- UTEP is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- UTEP is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Liberty Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Liberty is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- Liberty is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 6.23% ROI
- Liberty is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 45.45% ROI
- Liberty is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -50% ROI
UTEP is 2-7 (.182) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst in FBS; Average: .517
UTEP is 2-6 (.182) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .425
UTEP is 2-10 (.167) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .398
UTEP is 1-7 (.125) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .425
Liberty is undefeated (10-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .404
Liberty is undefeated (13-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .435
Liberty is undefeated (13-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .395
Liberty is 12-1 (.923) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .407