UTEP vs Colorado St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 4
UTEP vs Colorado St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 4

The UTEP Miners (0-3) visit Canvas Stadium to take on the Colorado State Rams (1-2) on Sep. 21 in Fort Collins, CO. Kickoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EDT.

Colorado St is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The UTEP vs. Colorado State Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

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UTEP vs Colorado State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Colorado State will win this game with 76.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UTEP and Colorado St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

UTEP vs Colorado State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Colorado State will cover the spread with 66.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • UTEP have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 52% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • UTEP have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)

  • Colorado State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.45 Units / 19% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for UTEP players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best UTEP Player Prop Bets Today

  • Cade McConnell has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Colorado State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Colorado State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.15 Units / 115% ROI)
  • Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

UTEP Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UTEP is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • UTEP is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
  • UTEP is 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
  • UTEP is 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI

Colorado State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Colorado St is 0-3 against the spread this college football season (-3.25 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Colorado State is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Colorado State is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Colorado State is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

UTEP is 2-7 (.167) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .414

UTEP is 2-10 (.154) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-17th-worst in FBS; Average: .392

UTEP is 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .325

UTEP is 1-5 (.167) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-15th-worst in FBS; Average: .497

Colorado State is 2-8 (.200) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .386

Colorado State is 1-12 (.077) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2022 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .453

Colorado State is 1-4 (.200) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: .506

Colorado State is 1-4 (.200) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: .438

Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.7% of 89 attempts this season — T-19th-worst among FBS offenses. UTEP’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.5% of attempts this season — 25th-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s QBs has thrown for 4,069 passing yards in 15 games (271.3 YPG) since the 2023 season — 26th-best among FBS teams. UTEP’s defense has allowed just 189.5 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.

  
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