The Utah State Aggies (5-6) visit University Stadium (NM) to take on the New Mexico Lobos (4-7) on Nov. 24 in Albuquerque.
Utah State is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).
The Utah State vs. New Mexico Over/Under is 61.5 total points.
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Utah State vs New Mexico Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Utah State will win this game with 73.5% confidence.
Utah State vs New Mexico Spread Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Utah State will cover the spread with 79.4% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Utah State and New Mexico, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Utah State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Utah State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.65 Units / 9% ROI)
New Mexico Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- New Mexico has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+6.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- New Mexico have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+2.25 Units / 48% ROI)
Best Utah State Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Utah State players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Robert Briggs Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Jalen Royals has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Cooper Legas has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Cooper Legas has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Terrell Vaughn has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Utah State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Utah State is 6-5 against the spread this college football season (+0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI).
- Utah State is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.75 Units / -10.57% ROI
- Utah State is 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 30.58% ROI
- Utah State is 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -38.84% ROI
New Mexico Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.6 Units / -13.28% ROI).
- New Mexico is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.95 Units / 40.25% ROI
- New Mexico is 8-3 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI
- New Mexico is 3-8 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI
Utah State is 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– tied for 13th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .566
Utah State is 13-4 (.765) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 23rd-best in FBS; Average: .571
Utah State is undefeated (4-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2022 season– tied for 11th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .505
Utah State is 8-2 (.800) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2022 season– 34th-best in FBS; Average: .633
New Mexico is 1-7 (.125) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2021 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: .695
New Mexico is 1-5 (.167) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2021 season– tied for 3rd-worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .692
New Mexico is 1-15 (.062) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2022 season– worst in FBS; Average: .393
New Mexico is 1-6 (.143) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .494