The USC Trojans (3-1) visit Huntington Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Golden Gophers (2-3) on Oct. 5 in Minneapolis, MN. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
USC is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).
The USC vs. Minnesota Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
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USC vs Minnesota Prediction:
The winning team model predicts USC will win this game with 75.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both USC and Minnesota, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
USC vs Minnesota Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts USC will cover the spread with 77.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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USC Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- USC has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- USC has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- USC has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 away games (+0.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- USC has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.35 Units / 3% ROI)
Minnesota Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Minnesota have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+0.70 Units / 7% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for USC players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best USC Player Prop Bets Today
- Zachariah Branch has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Lake McRee has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Miller Moss has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Miller Moss has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Minnesota players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Minnesota Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Daniel Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Max Brosmer has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jordan Nubin has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Max Brosmer has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 45% ROI)
USC Against the Spread (ATS) Record
USC is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 44.94% ROI).
- USC is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 16.58% ROI
- USC is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -50% ROI
- USC is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 45.45% ROI
Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Minnesota is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 34.55% ROI).
- Minnesota is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -2.92% ROI
- Minnesota is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI
- Minnesota is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI
USC is undefeated (5-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .673
USC is 10-3 (.714) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .618
USC is undefeated (5-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .600
USC was 2-5 (.250) when not forcing a fumble in the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .513
Minnesota is 1-8 (.111) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .466
Minnesota is 1-5 (.167) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .496
Minnesota is 1-8 (.111) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 11th-worst in FBS; Average: .415
Minnesota is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .512
Minnesota’s WRs has 167 receptions in 18 games (just 9.3 per game) since the 2023 season — 16th-worst among FBS WRs. USC’s defense has allowed 19.7 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Minnesota’s WRs has 167 receptions in 18 games (just 9.3 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. USC’s defense has allowed 3.7 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.