USC vs California Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9
USC vs California Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

The USC Trojans (6-2) visit California Memorial Stadium to take on the California Golden Bears (3-4) on Oct. 28 in Berkeley.

USC is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-115).

The USC vs. California Over/Under is 66.5 total points.

Bet now on California vs USC & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

USC vs California Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts USC will win this game with 77.7% confidence.

USC vs California Spread Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts USC will cover the spread with 62.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both USC and California, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on California vs USC and all games with BetMGM

Get up to $1,500 First Bet Offer


  • USC has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 15 games (+12.90 Units / 78% ROI)
  • USC has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+3.00 Units / 64% ROI)
  • USC has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+2.75 Units / 0% ROI)
  • USC has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games (+1.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • USC has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.95 Units / 18% ROI)

  • California has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+6.15 Units / 44% ROI)
  • California has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • California has hit the Team Total Over in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.65 Units / 8% ROI)

Best USC Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for USC players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Mario Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Caleb Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Dorian Singer has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Caleb Williams has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 away games (+2.10 Units / 98% ROI)
  • Brenden Rice has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 74% ROI)

Best California Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for California players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jaydn Ott has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Jaydn Ott has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Jeremiah Hunter has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Trond Grizzell has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

USC Against the Spread (ATS) Record

USC is 2-6 against the spread this college football season (-4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI).

  • USC is 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 0.22% ROI
  • USC is 7-1 when betting the Over for +5.9 Units / 67.05% ROI
  • USC is 1-7 when betting the Under for -6.7 Units / -76.14% ROI

California Against the Spread (ATS) Record

California is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI).

  • California is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -5.93% ROI
  • California is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • California is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

USC is 13-1 (.929) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2022 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .539

USC is 19-11 (.613) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2021 season– 36th-best in FBS; Average: .493

USC is undefeated (10-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2022 season– tied for 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .451

USC is 11-2 (.611) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2022 season– tied for 11th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .434

California is winless (0-7) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .458

California is 1-11 (.071) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2022 season– 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .344

California is 3-11 (.214) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2022 season– tied for 30th-worst in FBS; Average: .390

  
Read Full Article