The USC Trojans (3-0) visit Mountain America Stadium to take on the Arizona State Sun Devils (1-2) on Sep. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Tempe.
USC is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -34.5 (-115).
The USC vs. Arizona St. Over/Under is 61.5 total points.
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USC vs Arizona St. Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts USC will win this game with 95.0% confidence.
USC vs Arizona St. Spread Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts USC will cover the spread with 51.6% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both USC and Arizona St., plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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USC Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- USC has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- USC has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.85 Units / 6% ROI)
- USC has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.35 Units / 1% ROI)
- USC has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- USC has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.50 Units / 10% ROI)
Arizona St. Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arizona State has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- Arizona State has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Arizona State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Arizona State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+0.95 Units / 7% ROI)
- Arizona State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+0.70 Units / 10% ROI)
Best USC Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for USC players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Mario Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.60 Units / 60% ROI)
- Caleb Williams has hit the TD Passes Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Austin Jones has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Caleb Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Caleb Williams has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
Best Arizona St. Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arizona St. players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Elijhah Badger has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- Xavier Guillory has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Trenton Bourguet has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Giovanni Sanders has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jaden Rashada has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
USC Against the Spread (ATS) Record
USC is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- USC is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 0.5% ROI
- USC is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- USC is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Arizona St. Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arizona St. is 0-3 against the spread this college football season (-3.3 Units / -100% ROI).
- Arizona St. is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -0.22% ROI
- Arizona St. is 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
- Arizona St. is 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
#5 USC is 14-2 (.875) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2022 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .484
#5 USC is 11-1 (.917) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2022 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .521
#5 USC is undefeated (9-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2022 season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .639
#5 USC is 14-2 (.875) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: .551
Arizona State is winless (0-9) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .401
Arizona State was winless (0-6) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .372
Arizona State is 4-11 (.267) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2021 season– tied for 37th-worst in FBS; Average: .384
Arizona State is 4-14 (.222) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season– tied for 26th-worst in FBS; Average: .395
Arizona State’s offense has thrown for 591 passing yards in 3 games (just 197.0 YPG) this season — 35th-worst among FBS offenses. USC’s defense has allowed just 238.3 passing yards per game this season — fourth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.
Arizona State’s TEs has 13 receptions in 3 games (4.3 per game) this season — tied for third-best among Pac-12 TEs. USC’s defense has allowed just 17.7 receptions per game this season — tied for second-best among Pac-12 defenses.