USA Basketball is looking to sweep its way through Group C as it takes on Jordan in its final group-play game, and it serves as a massive favorite. Check out our best USA vs. Jordan prediction based on the best FIBA World Cup odds.
This isn't even a matter of who will win this game between USA Basketball and Jordan; it will be the Americans. The only question is how much and how many highlight reel dunks we will see from them in the process.
USA Basketball will garner all of the attention, but also keep your eye on Rondae Hollis-Jefferson in this matchup. The former Arizona Wildcat is having an awesome tournament so far, averaging 31.5 points per game through his first two games of the FIBA World Cup.
The game will be a blowout, but that doesn't mean there aren't edges we can find in the betting markets.
Here is our best USA vs. Jordan prediction for Wednesday's FIBA World Cup matchup (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
USA vs. Jordan prediction: FIBA World Cup
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USA Basketball has had one of the easier groups in the FIBA World Cup due to Giannis Antetokounmpo's absence from the Greece roster. They've already blown out New Zealand and Greece, and they expect more of the same on Wednesday when they face Jordan, against whom they are favored by 41.5 points. Steve Kerr has already revealed his approach for these games – everyone will play 15 to 20 minutes, except for Walker Kessler.
We've seen Brandon Ingram make comments about how challenging it has been for him personally to adjust to this new role with USA Basketball and limited minutes, but that hasn't been the case for Austin Reaves. Reaves isn't passive in the minutes he plays; he becomes a playmaker the moment he steps on the court.
In an earlier tournament game, Canada set the re cord for the most assists in a single game by any team with 44 when they were favored by 39.5 points against Lebanon. Though I don't anticipate USA Basketball breaking the assist record, the concept remains the same: everyone should be able to create offense for each other and generate easy baskets for their teammates. When you factor in someone with as aggressive a mindset as Reaves and his playmaking skills, you have to consider taking the Over for his assists prop.
The analysis from a basketball perspective supports this pick, but more importantly, we've identified an edge in the odds. We're capitalizing on a rogue price for Reaves assists prop at BetRivers, at which the Over 3.5 assists is trading at -118. At bet365, the same bet of Over 3.5 assists is trading at -145. This isn't a minor difference; it represents a substantial gap in probability that can be exploited.
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USA vs. Jordan best odds
| BetRivers | bet365 | BetMGM |
|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 assists | Over 3.5 assists | Over 4.5 assists |
| -118 | -145 | +120 |
BetRivers offers the best price for the Over 3.5 assists on Reaves, and it's not even close. On the other hand, BetMGM has set Reaves' total at 4.5 assists, with the Over trading at plus money. However, the fact that it's plus odds doesn't necessarily imply greater value for that bet. The best edge still lies in taking the -118 odds at BetRivers for the Over 3.5 assists.
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USA vs. Jordan odds analysis
USA Basketball is listed as a massive favorite against Jordan, with many of our best sports betting sites displaying a point spread of USA -41.5. The spread is so big for this game that the money line is currently unavailable at several of our best sportsbooks.
The total po ints for this game is set at 185.5, with increased juice on the Over. Given this increased juice on the Over, it appears likely that the total should climb to 186.5 before tipoff on Wednesday morning.
USA vs. Jordan game info
- When: Wednesday, Aug. 30, 4:40 a.m. ET.
- Where: Mall of Asia Arena, Manila, Philippines
- How to watch: ESPN2
USA-Jordan pick made 08/29/2023 at 8:00 a.m. ET.
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