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Emma Hayes' most challenging task since taking over as head coach is on the immediate horizon as the USA faces Germany in Sunday's Group B clash.
Separated by one position in the FIFA rankings, the World No. 4 Germans and World No. 5 Americans clash after mirroring 3-0 victories in their opening games. Germany brushed past Australia while the USA had their way against an overmatched and overwhelmed Zambia side.
The United States enter the match, which takes place on Sunday at 3 p.m. ET from Stade de Marseille (USA Network), as the favorites across our best sports betting sites to take all three points. Our USA vs. Germany odds, picks & predictions focus on the match result, featuring the most likely goalscorer.
Team USA have the second-shortest odds to win their first gold since 2012, while Germany, the fourth favorites, look to emulate their g old-medal-winning performance at Rio de Janeiro in 2016.
USA vs. Germany predictions for Sunday
(Soccer picks confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale; USA vs. Germany odds via our best soccer betting sites)
- Final score: USA 2 – Germany 1 (+800) ???
- Mallory Swanson anytime goal scorer (+200) ????
- Best bet: USA ML (+120) ????
USA vs. Germany score prediction
The USA have scored at least three goals in three of the last five games, including three in the opener. They have averaged 2.2 goals per contest during that stretch.
Germany have scored at least once in eight straight contests and netted in both previous matches against the Americans.
This predicted score has become a recent trend, as their last two friendlies against each other ended 2-1 with both teams picking up a win.
Based on form and overall quality, the Americans should have just enough to prevail. These +550 odds will yield a profit of $55 on a winning $10 wager.
Odds: +550 | Implied probability: 15.38%
USA vs. Germany anytime goal scorer prediction
Mallory Swanson opened her account against Zambia in the opener, netting twice for her second and third goals in four Olympic matches. The United States forward has 26 goals in 41 starts with the Red, White, and Blue. More importantly, she has five goals in 11 Olympic, World Championship, and World Cup matches.
Swanson is also brimming with confidence after displaying a masterclass in finishing against Zambia. She faces a much more formidable challenge against one of the world's most acclaimed defenses. However, Swanson is blessed with a predatory instinct that should pose problems for the Germans.
These +200 odds will yield a $20 profit on a $10 bet if Swanson nets at least once.
Odds: +200 | Implied probability: 33.33%
USA vs. Germany best bet
The USA and Germany split the last two head-to-heads, both ending 2-1. While the Americans are favored to take all three points, they haven't played a team of Germany's elite pedigree since losing to Sweden in the Round of 16 at the 2023 World Cup.
That said, Germany enter Sunday's contest plagued by inconsistency. Their recen t form, two wins in the last five matches, doesn't bode well against an American side with a new lease on life under Hayes. Germany lost 3-2 to Zambia in a recent friendly and failed to beat a mediocre Republic of Korea side, tying 1-1.
Germany have the quality to trouble the USA, but they will have to be at their best to do so. The United States, meanwhile, are unbeaten in 10 matches with eight victories. Hayes' side also faired significantly better against Korea, recently demolishing them by scores of 3-0 and 4-0 in successive friendlies.
The +120 odds will yield a profit of $12 on a winning $10 bet.
Odds: +120 | Implied probability: 45.45%
USA vs. Germany odds & game info
| USA | Germany | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +120 | +230 |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 (-1130) | Under 2.5 (-120) |
| Spread | -0.5 (+110) | +0.5 (-155) |
- When: Sunday, July 28
- Time: 3 p.m. ET
- Where: Stade de Marseille (Marseille, France)
- How to watch: USA Network, Peacock (US), CBC Gem (Canada)
- Favorite: USA (+120)
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