The UNLV Rebels (4-1) visit Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium to take on the Utah State Aggies (1-4) on Oct. 11 in Logan, UT. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT.
UNLV is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -18.5 (-115).
The UNLV vs. Utah State Over/Under is 65.5 total points.
Bet now on Utah State vs UNLV & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
UNLV vs Utah State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts UNLV will win this game with 90.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UNLV and Utah State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UNLV vs Utah State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Utah State will cover the spread with 84.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Utah State vs UNLV and all games with BetMGM
Get up to $1,500 First Bet Offer
UNLV Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UNLV has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+6.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- UNLV have covered the Spread in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- UNLV have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- UNLV have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 53% ROI)
Utah State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Utah State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- Utah State have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.30 Units / 5% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for UNLV players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best UNLV Player Prop Bets Today
- Jacob De Jesus has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.05 Units / 95% ROI)
- Jai’Den Thomas has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Ricky White has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Utah State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Utah State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Robert Briggs Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Rahsul Faison has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Jalen Royals has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
UNLV Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UNLV is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 67.42% ROI).
- UNLV is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units / 117.81% ROI
- UNLV is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI
- UNLV is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI
Utah State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Utah State is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.15 Units / -26.44% ROI).
- Utah State is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -29.85% ROI
- Utah State is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.25 Units / -28.09% ROI
- Utah State is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 20.69% ROI
UNLV is 9-6 (.600) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .397
UNLV is 12-2 (.857) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .616
UNLV is 12-4 (.750) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .648
UNLV is 12-4 (.750) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .588
Utah State is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .544
Utah State is 5-10 (.333) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .460
Utah State is 6-11 (.353) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– 32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .486
Utah State is 7-8 (.467) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .630
Utah State’s QBs has thrown for 1,356 passing yards in 5 games (271.2 YPG) this season — 32nd-best among FBS teams. UNLV’s defense has allowed 251.8 passing yards per game this season — 29th-worst among FBS defenses.
Utah State’s RBs has rushed for 2,731 yards on 454 carries (6.0 YPC) since the 2023 season — 9th-best among FBS RBs. UNLV’s defense have allowed just 4.4 YPC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.