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It's a rematch of last season's bowl game with Kansas taking on UNLV at Children's Mercy Park in Kansas City, Kans. on Friday at 7 p.m. ET (ESPN).
The Jayhawks beat the Rebels 49-36 in last year's Guaranteed Rate Bowl, but in our UNLV vs. Kansas prediction we're expecting a closer game this time around.
Kansas entered the season with a dark-horse Heisman Trophy odds candidate at QB in Jalon Daniels, but a slow start has ended that buzz.
Meanwhile, UNLV looks like a potential Group of Five College Football Playoff odds contender. And we like the Rebels' impressive play to continue in our college football Week 3 predictions.
Best UNLV vs. Kansas picks
College football picks based on the odds from our best college football betting sites. Odds subject to change.
- Spread pick: UNLV +7 (-108 via DraftKings) vs. Kansas ????
- Player prop: Daniel Hishaw Jr. Over 33.5 rushing yards (-113 via Caesars) ????
UNLV vs. Kansas odds movement
When we made our pick for this game on Thursday, the Jayhawks were just a 7-point favorite. There's been plenty of movement at our best sportsbooks since, with Kansas now -9.5
UNLV actually opened +6.5 and has seen the line move three full points since, rewarding bettors who waited to back the Rebels. However, 58% of bettors are still backing the Jayhawks to cover the spread.
UNLV vs. Kansas spread prediction: Week 3
The spread for this game has moved from 6.5, but it makes too much sense to take the road underdog with the line hovering at a key number.
Kansas is c oming off a 23-17 road loss to Illinois, raising questions about how much this team misses offensive coordinator Andy Kotelnicki, who left for the same job at Penn State.
Meanwhile, UNLV has logged two convincing wins in as many weeks to begin the year and is poised to push KU. The Rebels sit second in the Mountain West Championship odds.
Kansas raced out to a 28-7 first-half lead during last year's bowl game before UNLV clawed its way back. At one point, the Rebels were within five points early in the fourth quarter before the Jayhawks recorded a pair of passing touchdowns to pull away.
It made the game more competitive than the final score indicated and led to some added chippiness between the two teams in the fourth quarter. Don't be surprised if the players remember that.
The Jayhawks were held to 17 points last weekend after averaging 35 points per game the last two seasons. It's difficult not to put a big part of that blame on new offensive coordinator Jeff Grimes, who abandoned the run on a day when his quarterback struggled.
Jalon Daniels was limited to 141 yards and three interceptions on 32 attempts, and I'm backing him to throw an interception in my UNLV vs. Kansas player props. Devin Neal, who registered 101 yards on 14 carries against Illinois, needs to be involved more if Kansas wants to avoid an upset this weekend.
Best odds: -108 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 51.92%
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UNLV vs. Kansas player prop
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KU's offense ranks 19th in rushing success rate. The Jayhawks are second in run-blocking grade via Pro Football Focus, which is a good sign after losing offensive line coach Scott Fuchs to the Tennessee Titans.
Grimes said he should have run the ball more last weekend and all the metrics support that notion. Neal is the obvious beneficiary of a run-heavy approach, but his rushing line of 100.5 reflects that likely high output.
Backup running back Daniel Hishaw Jr.'s rushing prop is more attractive, especially after he picked up 39 yards on seven attempts last weekend. With a projection of 48 yards, I like the value of this Over at our best sportsbooks.
Best odd s: -113 via Caesars | Implied probability: 53.05%
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UNLV vs. Kansas odds
See all of this week's college football odds and NCAAF scores.
UNLV vs. Kansas game info
- When: Friday, Sept. 13
- Kickoff: 7 p.m. ET
- Where: Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kans.)
- How to watch: ESPN
- Weather: 78.3 degrees, 1% chance of precipitation, 9-mph winds
- Favorite: Kansas -7 (-105 via BetMGM)
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