In the last six years, five different quarterbacks have led the NFL in passing yards. Among the top 12 in NFL betting odds to lead in that category in 2022, only Tom Brady accomplished that feat.
Justin Herbert has the best odds at +700. It's reasonable to believe someone who has never thrown for the most yards in a single season before will do so in 2022. With that in mind, here's a look at three quarterbacks who are underpriced in NFL betting odds to take the passing yards crown.
NFL Passing Yards Leader Odds
| Player | Odds (8/23) |
| Justin Herbert | +700 |
| Patrick Mahomes | +800 |
| Matthew Stafford | +850 |
| Tom Brady | +850 |
| Joe Burrow | +900 |
| Derek Carr | +1000 |
| Dak Prescott | +1200 |
| Josh Allen | +1200 |
| Aaron Rodgers | +2000 |
| Russell Wilson | +2000 |
| Kirk Cousins | +2000 |
| Tua Tagovailoa | +2500 |
| Matt Ryan | +3000 |
| Jameis Winston | +3000 |
| Ryan Tannehill | +3000 |
| Kyler Murray | +3000 |
| Trevor Lawrence | +3000 |
| Mac Jones | +3500 |
| Trey Lance | +4000 |
| Deshaun Watson | +5000 |
| Carson Wentz | +5000 |
| Jalen Hurts | +5000 |
| Lamar Jackson | +5000 |
| Baker Mayfield | +5000 |
Underpriced Props for Most Passing Yards
At +1000, Carr is sixth among passing yards odds. And yet, he has a strong case to be the one who leads in this statistic when all is said and done.
In 2021, Carr was fifth in the league with 4,804 yards, with Brady first at 5,315.'
But among those QBs who were also in the top five, Carr was the only one who was also top five in completion percentage and completion percentage above expectation, according to Next Gen Stats. That means he was hitting his targets consistently, even when facing tougher circumstances like tight coverage and incoming pressure.