UL Lafayette vs Wake Forest Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 5
UL Lafayette vs Wake Forest Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 5

The Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (2-1) visit Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium to take on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (1-2) on Sep. 28 in Winston-Salem, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Wake Forest is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Louisiana vs. Wake Forest Over/Under is 60.5 total points.

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Louisiana vs Wake Forest Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Louisiana will win this game with 57.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UL Lafayette and Wake Forest, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Louisiana vs Wake Forest Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisiana will cover the spread with 59.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Louisiana has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Louisiana have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Louisiana have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Louisiana have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 10 games (+0.80 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Wake Forest have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.35 Units / 3% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Louisiana players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Louisiana Player Prop Bets Today

  • Jacob Bernard has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Robert Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Chandler Fields has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Chandler Fields has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Wake Forest players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Wake Forest Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Taylor Morin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Demond Claiborne has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)

Louisiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UL Lafayette is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.15 Units / -4.48% ROI).

Wake Forest Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wake Forest is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -50% ROI).

Louisiana is 2-6 (.250) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .444

Louisiana is 4-6 (.400) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .551

Louisiana is 2-6 (.250) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .507

Louisiana is 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .555

Wake Forest is 2-9 (.182) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .538

Wake Forest is 3-8 (.273) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .622

Wake Forest is 2-5 (.286) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .536

Wake Forest is 3-9 (.250) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .457

Wake Forest’s offense has thrown for 988 passing yards in 3 games (329.3 YPG) this season — 7th-best among FBS offenses. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 114.0 passing yards per game this season — 6th-best among FBS defenses.

Wake Forest’s QBs has thrown for 988 passing yards in 3 games (329.3 YPG) this season — 7th-best among FBS teams. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 114.0 passing yards per game this season — 6th-best among FBS defenses.

  
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