UFC on ABC 3: Brian Oretga vs Yair Rodriguez picks, predictions and best bets – Rodriguez puts himself in title contention

UFC on ABC 3 takes place on Saturday at the UBS Arena in Elmont, New York. This card features a featherweight fight as the Main Event.

We are sharing our UFC on ABC 3 best bets here, but head over to our main UFC on ABC 3 predictions page'for picks for each fight on the main and preliminary card. Let's get into our best bets for Saturday's card.

Main Card Best Bet

Yair Rodriguez comes into this fight with an MMA record of 14-3. He is 8-2 in the UFC, most recently losing to Max Holloway by unanimous decision back in November of 2021. Rodriguez is averaging 4.65 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 45%. He is absorbing 4.09 strikes and has a striking defense of 53%. His grappling is decent, averaging 0.86 takedowns per every 15 minutes. Though his takedown accuracy is 28%, while his takedown defense is 60%.

Even though Rodriguez is coming off a loss against Max Holloway where he was dominated, this was his first UFC fight since 2019. Rodriguez is actually a better striker than Brian Ortega and has the better striking volume. He also has better striking accuracy and better takedown defense which should nullify any small advantage that Ortega has when grappling. Rodriguez has also not lost by submission in his career and has not lost by KO/TKO since 2017, therefore backing him to pull off the upset looks to be worth a play.



  
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