Let's look into some mispriced betting lines for UFC Kansas City on Saturday and see which fighters are overvalued and which are undervalued heading into the ESPN event.
UFC Kansas City takes place at T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri. The full event airs on ESPN and ESPN+ beginning at 5:30 p.m. ET (2:30 p.m. PT), with the main card portion commencing at 8:30 p.m. ET.
One of the first “aha!” moments I had in gambling (generally, not just MMA) was to start thinking about why markets might be wrong, rather than just trying to predict what I think will happen.
At its core, that's what a betting line is: a market where we can “buy” or “sell” events happening. For the most part, these markets are efficient, with the “price” eventually reflecting the true odds of the event.