UFC Fight Night Betting Preview
UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang gives his UFC Fight Night predictions and picks for May 20 with Kai Kara-France vs Amir Albazi headlining the event. The main card starts up at 7:00pm ET from the UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV.
Kai Kara-France vs Amir Albazi Odds: UFC Fight Night Main Event
| Saturday, June 3 | UFC Fight Night Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars) |
|---|---|
| Moneyline: | Kai Kara-France -110 vs Amir Albazi -110 |
| Rounds: | 3.5 Rounds (Over -160 / Under +135) |
| Fight Time: | Main Card Starts at 9:00pm ET / 6:00pm PT |
| Arena: | UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV |
| TV: | ESPN |
UFC Fight Night Betting Analysis
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Philipe Lins +115 v Maxim Grishin -135
I like Grishin to win a close fight here as I think he'll have a bit more juice left in the tank in the third round. Lins can get pretty gassed, especially if he goes for take downs.
He's shown he can get takedowns, but just can't do much with them as in his fight against Marcin Prachnio, Prachnio was able to get up pretty easily.
On the feet it should be close with Lins having a bit more power, but I think Grishin can have success against the cage in the clinch, and his leg kicks can be effective if he commits to them.
I like this fight to go the distance as I think both guys won't have the energy to finish the other after the first round, and I lean Grishin to pull out the win. If your book offers spreads, I do like Lins +3.5.
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Da'Mon Blackshea +125 v Luan Lacerda -145
I'll take the over 2.5 rounds in this one as I think it's a very even fight. These guys have shown they can finish fights outside of the UFC, but Blackshear has gone to decision in both of his UFC fights, and Lacerda went to decision in his only UFC fight against Cody Stamann.
I think both guys defense is better than their offense, and I don't see a KO or submission path to victory for either guy. Both have good cardio, solid striking, good movement on the feet, but limited offensive upside. No opinion on the outcome of the fight, but I do expect it to hit the scorecards.
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Elise Reed -130 v Jinh Yu Frey +110
Frey is going to have to get this to the ground or Elise Reed will win on the feet. Reed isn't a great fighter, but she will throw strikes and they're pretty solid strikes.
I could do without the dancing and taunting she tried in her last fight against Lookboonmee before she got submitted, but Frey's striking decent is really bad and Reed should be able to exploit it.
If Frey gets this to the ground, she can have success as Reed is not good on the mat, but Frey has been hesitant in the past, and I think we see more of the same. This isn't going to be an amazing technical fight, but I like Reed to get it done here on the feet.
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Daniel Santos -210 v Johnny Munoz +180
Before this fight was delayed a few weeks ago, Santos was around -150 and myself and a lot of other people liked Santos. Now that the books know this, they opened the fight at -200, but the handicap of this fight remains the same.
Santos has the more creative and aggressive striking, Munoz has a good jab, but I believe Santos has the edge just about everywhere else. Munoz fights pretty cautious, which is the opposite of Santos and I think Santos's pressure and cardio will overwhelm.
Munoz won his last fight against Sholinian by counter striking and keeping him at distance, but Santos will eat a punch to get in close to do damage, and I believe it will be too much for Munoz.
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Andrei Arlovski +105 v Don'Tale Mayes -125
I will take this fight to start round two as a parlay piece as neither of these guys seems like they can finish fights these days.
Both guys will try and work the clinch against the cage, mostly as a means to not use up a lot of energy, and rest.
I won't bet anything on this fight as I foresee three fairly boring rounds with not a lot of action and a tough decision for the judges.
On paper, Mayes should be fresher in the third, but Arlovski just seems to know how to squeak out close decision wins against guys with a similar skill set than him. Just take the over and don't bet ML's on this fight.
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Jamie Mullarkey -410 v Muhammadjon Naimov +330