UFC Fight NightBetting Preview
UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang gives his UFC Fight Night predictions and picks for August 26 with Max Holloway and Chan Sung Jung headlining the event in a featherweight match. The main card starts up at 8:00am ET from Singapore Indoor Stadium, Kallang, Singapore.
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Max Holloway vs Chan Sung Jung: UFC Fight Night Main Event
UFC Fight Night Predictions
Seung Woo Choi -250 v Jarno Errens +190
Choi's fights are exciting, but he's lost three in a row, and I'm wondering if his chin is gone. He loves to stand toe to toe with his opponent and exchange shots, but he doesn't block many of his opponent's shots, and in his last fight, he couldn't even make it through the first round without being knocked down several times, and then eventually finish.
However, Errens may not be the guy to land the big shot to Choi. His last fight was his UFC debut against Gomis, and Gomis was able to take him down several times and control the ground game and Errens showed very little on the feet in the striking department.
Choi will force Errens to stand and strike, and if Errens can clip the chin of Choi, he could easily finish, but I don't think he has that kind of power. I'll predict Choi to win, but there's no chance I'm laying -250 on him.
Na Liang +475 v JJ Aldrich -700
This fight shouldn't be close. Liang is not a UFC caliber fighter, and she's 0-2 in the UFC getting finished in both to not great competition.
Aldrich has lost two in a row to Blanchfield, and Lipski after winning three straight in the UFC, and this is a great get right spot for her. Take Aldrich to win inside the distance and use it as a parlay piece.
Yusaku Kinoshita -165 v Billy Goff +135
Two Contender Series winners face off here, and I expect it to be a war on the feet. Kinoshita likes to stand and bang as he showed on Contender Series and in his UFC debut against Adam Fugitt, but Fugitt exposed Kinoshita's lack of wrestling defense, and he showed that Kinoshita leaves himself open to strikes on the feet.
Goff resembles Kinoshita in that he loves to stand and bang, and he has holes in his striking defense, but he is a decent wrestler, and I think he can utilize that against Kinoshita.
Goff is really tough and showed on Contender Series he can eat a big shot and recover quickly, but Kinoshita is better than his opponent.
I do worry about the cardio of Goff so I'll lean Kinoshita in this one, but I'm not confident enough to make a bet on this fight.
Kenan Song +200 v Rolando Bedoya -250
Bedoya looked great in his UFC debut as he almost beat Khaos Williams in a fight he took on short notice. He wasn't scared of the moment and looked fantastic on his feet with his striking.
He showed good cardio and good movement on the feet, and he'll get a full camp to fight Song who has lost two straight, and he leaves his face so wide open on the feet that he gets pieced up by accurate strikers. He is a decent counter striker, but over three rounds he just takes too much damage.
He has four wins in the UFC, but all those opponents are no longer in the UFC, and he's lost to the three good opponents he's faced. I'll side with Bedoya to win, but I like overs in this fight.
Take it to start round two or over 1.5 rounds as a parlay piece as Bedoya showed good striking defense against Khaos so I don't think he eats a big shot from Song, but Bedoya didn't show much power against Williams so I'm not sure he gets the early finish either.
Chidi Njokuani +100 v Michal Oleksiejczuk -120
Tough fight to predict as I don't know what we're going to get from Chidi. Two fights ago, Chidi did incredible damage to Gregory Rodrigues, but he tired himself trying to get the finish, and he ended up getting finished by Rodrigues.
His next fight was against Albert Duraev and looked tentative. I'm not sure if he was trying to manage his cardio, or if he had a bad weight cut, but his strikes didn't have much pop on them, and it cost him as he lost a split decision.
Oleksiejczuk is a striker who should have success on the feet against Chidi, and if Chidi fights as tentative as he did last fight, Michal will win by decision.
I just don't know if we're going to get the aggressive Chidi or the tentative Chidi. This fight is a stay away for me.
Toshiomi Kazama +145 v Garrett Armfield -175
Kazama likes to wrestle, but in his UFC debut, Nakamura came out of the gates fast on the feet and knocked out Kazama in 33 seconds.
Kazama will probably want this fight to take place on the ground, but Armfield held his own against David Onama in his UFC debut, a fight he took on short notice.
Armfield isn't a great striker, but he should be better than Kazama and if he can force Kazama into a striking battle, Armfield should have the advantage. Kazama has utilized his wrestling against lesser competition, and I really don't know if it will work against Armfield.
The way to bet this fight in my opinion is to take the fight to go the distance or under 2.5 rounds. Neither guy impresses me with their striking, and the wrestling should be fairly close. I just don't see who finishes who in this fight, I think it goes the distance.
Waldo Cortes-Acosta -290 v Lukasz Brezski +235
Brezski has had a rough start to his UFC career as he won on Contender Series, and then failed a drug test. He then lost to Martin Buday in a split decision in his debut, and then got outwrestled for three rounds in a loss to Karl Williams.
His cardio was bad in that fight, but Williams is a wrestler who can test anyone's cardio over three rounds, and Waldo Cortes-Acosta is a low volume fighter who will not test the cardio of Brzeski.
Acosta won his first two fights against Vanderaa and Sherman, but in his last fight Marcos Rogerio de Lima controlled the action on the mat and on the feet.
Brezski shouldn't have to worry about the wrestling from Waldo like he did against Karl Williams, but he also won't have to worry about the cardio issues as Cortes-Acosta is not a fast paced fighter.
If you're looking for an underdog on this card, Brzeski is worth a sprinkle as this fight should be close on the feet.
Junior Tafa -120 v Parker Porter +100
Believe it or not, Parker Porter is 4-2 in his last six UFC fights, and I like him to make it 5-2. Junior Tafa has power on the feet, there's no doubt, but in his UFC debut he showed he has a massive hole in his game and that's the clinch and takedown.
Mohammed Usman won a unanimous decision by making it a boring fight against the cage and on the ground, but he got the win, and I think Porter does the exact same thing in this fight.
Porter won't want to stand and bang, and as a bit of extra motivation for him to not want to exchange punches with Junior, Porter got knocked out by older brother, Justin Tafa two fights ago.
Getting KO'd by brothers would be a lowlight in Porter's career, I expect him to take the path of least resistance and clinch and take Tafa down.