UFC Fight Night Betting Preview
UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang gives his UFC Fight Night predictions and picks for June 8th with Jared Cannonier and Nassourdine Imavov headlining the main event in a middleweight fight. The main card starts up at 8:00pm ET from the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, KY.
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Jared Cannonier vs Nassourdine Imavov: UFC Fight Night Main Event
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UFC Fight Night Predictions
Andrea Lee -122 vs Montana De La Rosa +102
This is pretty much a loser-goes-home fight as both fighters are on big losing streaks, and I'm not sure either fighter has an big advantage.
Both are mediocre strikers, and Andrea Lee used to have a decent wrestling game, but that seems to have gone away.
I'll lean De La Rosa in this one as Andrea Lee has looked like she's thrown in the towel the last couple fights, and although De La Rosa has terrible striking defense, she's at least looked competitive in her fights.
The only way to bet this fight is to bet the overs, and take the fight to go the distance. These two fought in 2019 and it went the distance, and neither has the power to KO the other on the feet, and neither of them are good at submissions so I don't see a finish in this one.
Daniel Marcos -110 vs John Castaneda -110
Marcos is a perfect 15-0, but he's due for a loss as he's been beating up lesser talented guys. His striking volume is a bit low, but it's effective and powerful.
He can do damage with only a few strikes, and his striking defense is good, but he can get flat-footed at times, and he's not very fast. He's interesting to watch as he doesn't jump off the screen when you watch him, but he just wins.
Castaneda is much quicker on the feet, and his volume and activity were great in his last fight as he landed 111 strikes against Kyung Ho Kang, but I think Marcos just does more damage in this fight.
I don't think Castaneda can land the big shots consistently on Marcos, and I think Marcos can slow down the movement with his power. I'll take Marcos to win and get to 16-0.
Carlos Prates -198 vs Charles Radtke +164
Radtke looked terrible in his UFC debut against Blood Diamond, but then KO'd Urbina in his next fight so he's tough to figure out.
I've seen him wrestle and clinch for long stretches, then I've seen him only strike in fights so figuring out what his approach here will be tough. Prates looked amazing on Contender Series, but he looked awful in his UFC debut for the first part of the fight until he showed off his power when he knocked out Trevin Giles out of nowhere.
I'll chalk it up to nerves in his UFC debut, and I think we see him settle down and show his true potential and power. Prates by KO is the pick here.
Ludovit Klein -125 vs Thiago Moises +114
Both guys are coming off of wins against bad opponents, and they both dominated and finished them so this should be a nice step up for both of them.
Klein's best performance was two fights ago when he manhandled Bahamondes, showing off takedowns, forward pressure and powerful strikes that we haven't really seen before. If he fights like that, I think he wins.
Moises is a guy who beats who he should beat, and loses to who he should lose to. He's beat Ramirez, Costa, and Giagos recently… guys who he's better than, but he's been finished by Saint-Denis, Alvarez and Makhachev.
So is Klein better than him or worse than him? I actually think Moises's leg kicks and takedowns will give Klein problems so I give the slight edge to Moises, and I think he's worth a sprinkle as the underdog.
Brad Katona -550 vs Jesse Butler +410
Jesse Butler isn't UFC caliber, and will get beat here. He stepped in short notice to save a fight for Jim Miller, and he lasted 23 seconds before getting KO'd.
Before getting his UFC shot, he fought at lower level promotions and didn't show good cardio, and he liked to get takedowns and control his opponents on the ground, but his takedown game isn't impressive and it worked because he was fighting bad fighters, not because his skills are elite.
Katona beat Cody Gibson in his UFC debut in an amazing fight where Katona showed incredible volume and cardio, but he dropped his last fight against Garrett Armfield. That fight was bizarre in that Armfield won 29-28 on all scorecards, but the judges had different rounds scored for him.
I thought Katona should have edged out the win, but the point is it was a very close fight where both Katona and Armfield looked good in all aspects of the fight.
Katona isn't a finisher, but his striking is light years better than Butler, and he's going to be tough for Butler to take down, and when Butler doesn't get him on the ground, it will zap Butler's eneergy. Katona will roll in this one.
Taylor Lapilus -198 vs Cody Stamann +164
I'm not a Cody Stamann fan so this is an easy pick for me. Stamann doesn't score anyone with his striking, or his takedowns anymore.
He's 2-3 in his last 5 fights, and both wins are to guys who are out of the UFC and are a combined 1-7 in their last 8 fights. Lapilus is on his second UFC run, and even though he lost his last fight against Basharat, he showed great takedown defense, and pretty good striking.
My concern with him is that he can get walked down, and it looks like the other fighter is controlling the pace and position.
Stamann will have lots of movement, and forward pressure, and that could play well in the eyes of the judges. I won't play Lapilus at this price, but I love this fight to go the distance as neither guy is a KO or submission specialist and both guys have the cardio and defense to not get finished.