UFC Fight Night Betting Preview
UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang gives his UFC Fight Night and picks for August 24th with the main event headlined by Jared Cannonier vs Caio Borralho in a middleweight fight. The main card starts up at 10:00pm ET from the UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV.
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Jared Cannonier vs Caio Borralho: UFC Fight Night Main Event
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UFC Fight Night Predictions
Cong Wang -850 vs Victoria Leonardo +575
Poor Leonardo as she's 1-3 in the UFC, and they gave here Manon Fiorot, Melissa Gatto and Natalia Silva as opponents, and she lost all 3 to the surprise of nobody.
She did beat Mandy Bohm by using good clinch work and solid striking, and she'll have to up her game against Wang.
Wang won Road To UFC, and she looks to have legit skills on the feet and on the ground. She'll have the edge on the feet, and definitely on the ground, but -850 is really crazy.
There's not much to do from a betting perspective from this fight as I don't even have an opinion about the total in this one. Pass and move on.
Jacqueline Cavalcanti -192 vs Josiane Nunes +160
Nunes is really short, and her lack of size proved to be too much for her to overcome against Chelsea Chandler in her first UFC loss in her last fight, and it's always been the big concern with her.
She has good power, she comes forward, and isn't afraid to take a punch to land 2. Cavalcanti won her UFC debut against Fairn who is basically the opposite of Nunes in that Fairn is big, but tentative.
I didn't think Cavalcanti's strikes were super crisp, and it got her the decision win against Fairn, but I don't think Nunes is going to be intimidated.
I'll take a sprinkle on Nunes to land the more significant strikes, and her aggression and pressure will be enough to get a close decision win.
Vlacheslav Borshchev -250 vs James Llontop +205
I think Llontop will get better, but right now I don't like his chances in the UFC. He has a lot of fights on his resume, but he's only 25, and his win on Contender Series got him a UFC contract, but I think it was too soon for him, and he got submitted by Chris Padilla in the first round in his UFC debut.
He has ok striking, but he just doesn't look like he has his man-body yet so his strikes don't have enough zip on them, and we saw bad takedown defense and ground game against Padilla.
That's a problem because the way to beat Borschchev is by taking him down and working him on the ground, and Llontop hasn't shown that he can do that.
On the feet, I think Borshchev will be too much for him as his strikes are more crisp, and his experience will pay dividends against the younger Llontop. Borshchev is a nice parlay piece at this price.
Zach Reese -380 vs Jose Medina +300
Medina's claim to fame is that Dana White loved him while he was getting his ass kicked on Contender Series. As a fighter, he isn't good, and he's fought guys in promotions I've never heard of so his record is really fraudulent.
He's losing weight so he can drop down to middleweight here, and it's always a bad sign when the best compliment you can give a fighter is that they're tough, and you're not complimenting their striking or ground game.
Reese is a tough one to figure out because he's had 8 pro fights, and none of them have gotten out of the first round. In fact, he's had less than 12 minutes of cage time in is professional fights.
He's knocked guys out, he's submitted guy, but what happens if he can't finish Medina and then it turns out he doesn't have 3-round cardio?
That's the only recipe for a Medina win, but I think Medina is awful and Reese makes short work of him.
Danny Silva -245 vs Dennis Buzukja +200
I liked Danny Silva a lot going into contender series, and he didn't disappoint as he and Angel Pacheco put on an amazing fight with Silva getting the win.
He got Josh Culibao in his UFC debut, which isn't easy, but he took advantage of Culibao's mistakes and got the close decision win.
Silva lost the first round on all scorecards, but showed great poise and cardio in the next 2 rounds utilizing clinch/control and better striking than Culibao to get the win.
Buzukja got his ass kicked in his first 2 UFC fights, but he did get the win against a pretty weak Connor Matthews.