UFC Fight Night Betting Preview
UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang gives his UFC Fight Night and picks for September 7th with the main event headlined by Gilbert Burns vs Sean Brady in a welterweight fight. The main card starts up at 7:00pm ET from the UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV.
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Gilbert Burns vs Sean Brady: UFC Fight Night Main Event
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UFC Fight Night Predictions
Nathan Fletcher -140 vs Zygimantas Ramaska +110
These guys are coming off of The Ultimate Fighter, and even though they didn't win, they put on good performances. Fletcher lost a close decision, and it turned out he broke his leg in that fight, and Ramaska put on the fight of the season against
Usmonov, but then he was pulled out of his semi-final fight because he wasn't medically cleared. I think Ramaska's striking is better, especially in the clinch, and I watched Fletcher make some mistakes with the grappling and ground game.
I didn't get to see any of Ramaska's ground game, but if he keeps it on the feet I think he can get the better of Fletcher. It's not a fight I want to bet on, but Ramaska is the pick.
Andre Petroski -340 vs Dylan Budka +270
Budka fought on Contender Series against Chad Honekom, and Chad made it the most boring fight in Contender Series history (he later failed a drug test), and Dana White felt so bad for Budka that he gave him a chance in the UFC, and Budka was horrific.
He took Cesar Almeida down early in the fight, did nothing with it, tried to do the same in the second, but was so tired and bad that he got knocked out by Almeida. Bottom line: Budka is awful, and is not UFC caliber, and the one thing he does well…takedowns…is what Petroski can defend.
Petroski isn't a great striker, his cardio is suspect, but he's better everywhere than Budka. Petroski is a parlay piece, or you can wait til props come out and take him to win ITD as Budka probably doesn't have the cardio to make it 3 rounds.
He's fighting at 185, and Dana said he should probably be fighting at 170, and he's actually fought at heavyweight before so I can't bet on a guy who can't even figure out what weight division he should be fighting in.
Jacqueline Amorim -325 vs Vanessa Demopoulos +260
I see the books are going to keep putting Demo at a big underdog, but we were on her in her last fight when she pulled the upset, and like we said back then, she has a style that the judges just love.
She's active at all times whether on the feet or on the ground, she's energetic at the end of the rounds, and those little things have gotten her two straight controversial wins.
However, I don't think she gets the nod here. Demo's win against Murata was a horrible decision, and her split win against Ducote wasn't awful, but Amorim is a terror on the ground, and her control and submission attempts won't let Demo score those little points she was able to score against Murata and Ducote.
Amorim lost her UFC debut to Sam Hughes, but she's looked great in her next two fights getting finishes against Ruiz with ground and pound, and a first round arm bar against McKenna. Her cardio is solid so Demo won't be able to tire her out, I think Demo's luck runs out.
Gabriel Santos -230 vs Yizha +190
Santos started off his UFC career by losing to Lerone Murphy and David Onama, no shame in those losses, but he needs a win to stay out of the 3-losses in a row danger zone, and I think he does get the win.
Santos is a striker who can light up opponents on the feet, and he even has a decision win against Elves Brenner a few years ago, but he's shown good skill on the ground with takedowns and submission attempts.
Against Onama, he almost had a couple of submissions in the first round, but I didn't like how he gave up on position, searching for the submission, and while he's an exciting striker, he got into some exchanges where he wasn't protecting himself and he got caught with an uppercut that put him out.
He just gets a bit too excited, and it doesn't work against UFC veterans who can be patient. However, his skills should overwhelm Yizha who is coming off his second run on Road To The UFC. He made it to the finals in the last season, but lost in the finale so he got right into the next season and was able to get the win.
He likes to get the fight to the ground, but I don't think his wrestling game is that good, and I think he's going to be a bit slow compared to Santos.
If Santos can show just a little bit of patience, I think he finds the opening on the feet and gets the KO as Yizha has a limited ceiling. Yizha is 27 years old and has 29 professional fights, but the level of competition just hasn't been there.
Andre Lima -185 vs Felipe dos Santos +154
Winning because your opponent bit you, and beating Mitch Raposo are not reasons to make you a -185 favorite in the UFC. His leg kicks against Raposo looked good, but Raposo did nothing to stop them, and still Lima won a split decision.
His striking is pretty good, solid cardio, and he has good durability, but I think Dos Santos is going to surprise him.
Santos is going to have a big reach advantage here, and I thought his last win against Altamirano was really good as he got taken down a couple times, but quickly got up, he used his long legs to establish distance, was very active on the ground, and showed good cardio.
Lima will probably attack the lead leg like he did in the last fight, but I think Santos can counter with his long jabs and kicks.
My favorite way to play this fight is to take it to go the distance as I don't think either guy will get knocked out, and I don't see any submissions in this one either.
Isaac Dulgarian -1800 vs Brandon Marotte +1100
No writeup needed. Dulgarian will take Marotte down and destroy him on the ground. Dulgarian by KO is the only way you can play this one.
Ryan Spann -360 vs Ovince Saint Preux +285
I don't know what we did as UFC fans to deserve this fight, but please don't bet any of your money on it. OSP is 41 years old, and is coming off a shocking win against Kennedy Nzechukwu where Kennedy took him for granted, didn't put him away and ended up rightfully losing the fight by split decision.
Make no mistake, OSP looked old and terrible, but he did have enough gas in the tank to go three rounds. I have no idea what happened to Ryan Spann.
He beat Reyes late in 2022, and he told all of us that he was training and taking his fighting career serious, and now he's lost three in a row including losing a decision to old-man Anthony Smith, and then getting knocked out by Guskov who isn't that good.