UFC 300 Odds – Latest Pereira vs. Hill Betting Lines

Alex Pereira puts his light heavyweight title on the line against Jamahal Hill when the two square off at T-Mobile Arena on Saturday, and we have you covered with our UFC 300 odds and betting lines from our best UFC betting sites.

Alex Pereira puts his title on the line against Jamahal Hill at UFC 300 on Saturday. The action begins at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nev., with the early prelims at 6:00 p.m. ET. Those fights are available on ESPN/ESPN+, while the main card gets underway at 10 p.m. ET on Pay-Per-View. Pereira claimed the light heavyweight title from Jiri Prochazka with a second-round KO/TKO (elbows) at UFC 295 in November 2023.

Also on the main card, Zhang Weili and Yan Xiaonan will fight for the women's strawweight title on the main card too. Weili reclaimed the strap in November 2022 and defended it once against Amanda Lemos in August 2023.

Here's our breakdown of the UFC 300 odds and betting lines for Saturday's full card to help with your UFC picks (odds via our best sports betting sites).

UFC 300 odds – Main Card

Pereira is considered the consensus favorite across our best sports betting sites to defend his title. That's the case even though Hill has logged just one loss on his professional MMA record.

The best line on the favorite is -125, which implies a 55.56% win probability and nets an $8 profit on a $10 bet.

Not intended for use in MA
Affiliate Disclosure: Sportsbook Review may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook

This will be Weili's seventh title fight or defense over her last eight bouts. The only opponent who has given her trouble over that nearly five-year span is Rose Namajunas, who toppled the Chinese phenom twice. 

Her top line of -400 at bet365 comes with an 80% implied win probability. It would bring in a profit of just $2.50 on a $10 wager.

Justin Gaethje won both of his fights in 2023 after losing a title shot vs. Charles Oliveira in May 2022. Meanwhile, Holloway took both of his bouts in 2023 after losing a title shot against Alexander Volkanovski in July 2022.

Holloway is going up a weight class from featherweight for this one, and his top +150 line at FanDuel or BetMGM shows that he's the underdog in this bout with a 40% implied win probability. A $10 bet on the underdog profits $15 if he comes through.

After losing the lightweight strap near the end of 2022, Oliveria bounced back with a first-round KO/TKO victory over Beneil Dariush in his lone 2023 fight. Tsarukyan also picked up a first-round KO/TKO win over Bariush in December, and has youth on his side against Oliveria. 

The Armenia fighter is getting -217 odds at best, which is a 68.45% win probability with a chance to profit $4.61 on a $10 bet.

Nickal has logged five professional fights: one with iKON FC, two on DWCS, and two at the UFC Level. His longest fight during that span went for just 2:54, and the other four all ended in the first 1:02. The 28-year-old American has registered two KO/TKO wins and three submission wins under his belt. As a favorite as short as -3000 he's getting a 96.77% win probability. 

His longest odds, -2000 pays just 50 cents on a $10 bet.

UFC 300 odds – Prelims

This is set to be a tight battle, with the favored Rakic only getting a 54.55% implied win probability. An $8.33 profit is in store on a $10 wager if the favorite pulls it out. 

Kattar has lost three of his last four fights, including two straight, and is an underdog against Sterling, who is looking to get back on track after losing his title to Sean O'Malley at UFC 292 in August. Sterling's best line is -155 at DraftKings, which implies a 60.78% win probability with a $6.45 profit on a $10 bet.

Despite it being her UFC debut after five years in the PFL, Harrison comes in as a heavy favorite against “The Preacher's Daughter” Holly Holm. Her best line of -450 comes with an 81.82% implied win probability, and just a $2.22 profit on a $10 bet.

The Brazilian Lopes enters on a two-bout win streak, with a pair of back-to-back first-round victories (one KO/TKO, one submission). The best line available on the favorite is -133, which leads to a 57.08% win probability with a $7.52 profit on a $10 bet.

UFC 300 odds – Early prelims

Turner logged three fights in 2023, and while he went 1-2, both losses were via split decision rulings. “The Tarantula” would give bettors just a $4.41 profit on a $10 bet based on his best line of -227, which implies a 69.42% win probability.

This is Andrade's first fight since a busy 2023 calendar which saw her go 2-3 across fights in January, February, May, August, and November. Her last four bouts haven't lasted two full rounds, and she will have her hands full versus Rodriguez. “Bate Estate” can be found as short as -136 at FanDuel, which translates to a 57.63% implied win probability in with a $7.35 profit on a $10 bet. 

Green holds a three-year age advantage over the 40-year-old Miller in a battle between two senior members of the UFC ranks. The best line available at our best sports betting apps for the younger fighter is -175, which implies a $63.64% win probability and a $5.71 profit on a $10 wager.

“Dues da Guerra” Figueiredo comes in as a relatively heavy favorite against the younger American, Garbrandt. His top line of -300 comes with a solid 75% win probability but just a $3.33 profit on a $10 bet.

UFC 300 fight info

• When: April 13, 2024
• Where: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nev.
• How to watch: ESPN/ESPN+ and Pay-per-view

How to read UFC betting odds

Understanding UFC betting odds is essential for making informed wagers. Let's break it down with examples:

• Positive odds (+): Positive odds indicate the potential profit on a $100 wager. For instance, if a fighter has odds of +250, it means that a $100 bet on that fighter would yield a profit of $250 if they win the fight. So, your total payout would be $350 ($250 profit + $100 original stake).
• Negative odds (-): Negative odds represent the amount yo u need to wager to win $100 in profit. For example, if a fighter has odds of -150, it means that you would need to bet $150 to win $100 in profit if that fighter wins. Your total payout would be $250 ($100 profit + $150 original stake).

Now, let's consider an actual UFC betting scenario:

• Fighter A: +200
• Fighter B: -180

For Fighter A (+200), a $100 bet would result in a $200 profit, making the total payout $300. For Fighter B (-180), you would need to wager $180 to win $100 in profit, resulting in a total payout of $280.

Understanding these odds helps you evaluate the potential payout and implied probability of each fighter winning a UFC fight. Positive odds indicate an underdog, while negative odds signify a favorite.

Here are our best UFC betting sites:

• Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUS1000 | Read our Caesars Review
• BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
• bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
• BetRivers Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetRivers Review
• FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
• DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review

(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

Related pages

• Best Sports Betting Sites | Best Sportsbook Promos (U.S. only)

  
Read Full Article