UConn-Gonzaga prediction: Preview, picks, stats for Elite 8 matchup in 2023 NCAA Tournament

The No. 4 UConn Huskies advanced to the Elite Eight with a big win over Arkansas where they will face the No. 3 Gonzaga Bulldogs. The Zags defeated No. 2 UCLA in a Sweet Sixteen instant classic. The game will air on TBS at 8:49 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 25. UConn is a 2.5-point favorite.

No. 4 UConn 28-8 (13-7 Big East)

First Round: Defeated No. 13 Iona 87-63
Second Round: Defeated No. 5 Saint Mary's 70-55
Third Round: Defeated No. 8 Arkansas, 88-65
KenPom rating: 4 Overall, 7 Offense, 18 Defense
Leading scorer: Adama Sanogo (16.9 PPG)
Key stat of tournament: Averaging 81.6 PPG through three tournament games

UConn is not turning down the heat. They took down an Arkansas team that beat No. 1 Kansas with ease, and their closest game thus far saw them win by 15 points. Adama Sanogo had 18 points and eight rebounds in the Sweet 16 – his lowest stat line thus far. Their offense has been unstoppable, as they shot 57.4% from the field in their latest game and 45% from the perimeter, out-rebounding Arky 43-31.

No. 3 Gonzaga 31-5 (14-2 WCC)

First Round: Defeated No. 14 Grand Canyon 82-70
Second Round: Defeated No. 6 TCU 84-81
Third Round: Defeated No. 2 UCLA 79-76
KenPom rating: 6 Overall, 1 Offense, 75 Defense
Leading scorer: Drew Timme (20.9 ppg)
Key stat of tournament: Gonzaga leading the nation in effective field goal percentage at 58.5%.

The Zags advance! With UConn's powerhouse offense going up against the best shooting team in the nation, this one should be fun to watch. Gonzaga put together a huge comeback against UCLA to pull ahead in the final minutes of the game. Timme had a whopping 36 points, and the Bulldogs were 50% from the field. They out-rebounded the Bruins 50-26.

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook

Spread: UConn -2.5
Total: 153.5
Moneyline: UConn -145, Gonzaga +125

The Pick: Over 153.5

These are two offenses that have not been missing shots, and it's not ridiculous to expect this to venture into the 80-point range on both sides in what will be a shootout. The Sanogo-Timme matchup should neutralize any rebounding advantage that these teams have had thus far.

  
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