The UCLA Bruins (1-3) visit Beaver Stadium to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions (4-0) on Oct. 5 in University Park, PA. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Penn State is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -28 (-110).
The UCLA vs. Penn State Over/Under is 46.5 total points.
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UCLA vs Penn State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Penn State will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UCLA and Penn State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UCLA vs Penn State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UCLA will cover the spread with 65.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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UCLA Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UCLA has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- UCLA has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- UCLA has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- UCLA has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- UCLA has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.35 Units / 7% ROI)
Penn State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+1.80 Units / 1% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.35 Units / 4% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for UCLA players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best UCLA Player Prop Bets Today
- J. Michael Sturdivant has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Ethan Garbers has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- TJ Harden has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Logan Loya has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 away games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ethan Garbers has hit the TD Passes Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.65 Units / 27% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Penn State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Penn State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Drew Allar has hit the TD Passes Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.45 Units / 61% ROI)
- Nicholas Singleton has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- Tyler Warren has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Drew Allar has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Kaytron Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
UCLA Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UCLA is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- UCLA is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -23.95% ROI
- UCLA is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- UCLA is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
Penn State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penn State is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Penn State is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 17.02% ROI
- Penn State is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Penn State is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
UCLA is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .486
UCLA is 1-7 (.125) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .420
UCLA is 1-3 (.250) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .535
UCLA is 1-5 (.167) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .449
Penn State is 11-1 (.917) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .691
Penn State is 13-1 (.929) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .762
Penn State is 14-2 (.875) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: .595
Penn State is 11-3 (.786) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .618
Penn State’s WRs has 161 receptions in 17 games (just 9.5 per game) since the 2023 season — 18th-worst among FBS WRs. UCLA’s defense has allowed 22.7 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among P5 defenses.
Penn State’s WRs has 161 receptions in 17 games (just 9.5 per game) since the 2023 season — 18th-worst among FBS WRs. UCLA’s defense has allowed 22.7 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.