UCLA vs Arizona St. Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 10

The UCLA Bruins (7-1) visit Sun Devil Stadium to take on the Arizona State Sun Devils (3-5) on Nov. 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT in Tempe.

UCLA are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-115).

The Over/Under for UCLA vs. Arizona St. is 66.5 total points.

Bet now on Arizona St. vs UCLA & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

UCLA vs Arizona St. Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UCLA will win this game with 64.2% confidence.

UCLA vs Arizona St. Spread Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UCLA will cover the spread with 59.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both UCLA and Arizona St., plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best UCLA Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for UCLA players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ricky Pearsall has hit the Receptions Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Zach Charbonnet has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Dorian Thompson-Robinson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Zach Charbonnet has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Dorian Thompson-Robinson has hit the TD Passes Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+2.00 Units / 20% ROI)

  • UCLA has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 64% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 42% ROI)
  • UCLA have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.35 Units / 24% ROI)

  • Arizona State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Arizona State have covered the 1H Spread in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+3.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Arizona State have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)

UCLA Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UCLA has gone 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI).

  • UCLA is 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.75 Units / 10.76% ROI
  • UCLA is 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
  • UCLA is 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI

Arizona St. Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arizona St. has gone 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Arizona St. is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 22.81% ROI
  • Arizona St. is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.35 Units / -5.26% ROI
  • Arizona St. is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.58% ROI

#9 UCLA is 13-1 (.929) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush — 5th-best in FBS; Average: .590

#9 UCLA is undefeated (8-0) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game — 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .398

#9 UCLA is 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .562

#9 UCLA is 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .564

Arizona State is 8-1 (.667) when scoring 22 or more points — tied for 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .505

Arizona State is 1-8 (.111) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2020 season– 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .350

Arizona State has gained 4,224 yards on 340 receptions (12.4 YPR) since the 2021 season — third-best among Pac-12 skill players. UCLA’s defense has allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Pac-12 defenses.

  
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