The Minnesota Twins (+120) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-145) on Thursday, September 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Twins vs Yankees Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Twins are 68-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 59-75 ATS.
Twins vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Twins vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s matchup with 58.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Yankees vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Hicks | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
Yankees vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Hicks | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -140 |
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
Yankees vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Hicks | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
Yankees vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 -105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 61-72 against the Run Line (-13.2 Units / -8.24% ROI).
- 68-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -3.09% ROI
- 63-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.15 Units / -1.47% ROI
- 60-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.55 Units / -6.48% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 59-75 against the Run Line (-19.05 Units / -12.19% ROI).
- 82-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -0.89% ROI
- 61-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.95 Units / -9.46% ROI
- 68-61 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.7 Units / 0.47% ROI
Sonny Gray: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sonny Gray has a strike rate of just 52% (389/756) on sliders since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
The average home run distance against Sonny Gray this season is 417.4 feet — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 398.2
Sonny Gray has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 75.3 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (106 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: 80.3
Hitters have swung at 51% of Sonny Gray’s pitches (561/1,101) with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Nestor Cortes: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 59% of the time (306/515) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total SL; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 62% of the time (230/368) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 55% of the time (486/889) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
28 of Nestor Cortes’ 80 breaking pitch strikeouts (35%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 98th Percentile.