The Minnesota Twins (+150) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-185) on Friday, April 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.

The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Twins vs Yankees Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Twins are 9-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 8-5 ATS.

Twins vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Twins vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.65 Units / 52% ROI)
• Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games (+8.40 Units / 87% ROI)
• Nick Gordon has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.20 Units / 44% ROI)
• Nick Gordon has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+7.35 Units / 42% ROI)
• Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.15 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.30 Units / 35% ROI)
• Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 54% ROI)
• Anthony Volpe has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.00 Units / 30% ROI)
• Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 56% ROI)
• DJ LeMahieu has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 4 games at home (+5.20 Units / 130% ROI)

Yankees vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.95 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 3 games (+3.05 Units / 76% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.95 Units / 29% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.60 Units / 41% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.95 Units / 36% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.25 Units / 28% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.90 Units / 10% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 9-4 against the Run Line (+6.8 Units / 46.1% ROI).

• 9-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.95 Units / 29.55% ROI
• 4-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -26.71% ROI
• 7-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.6 Units / 18.57% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 8-5 against the Run Line (+4.95 Units / 36.13% ROI).

• 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units / 7.22% ROI
• 6-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -2 Units / -13.65% ROI
• 7-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 3.23% ROI

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents batted .400 (10-for-25) against Louie Varland when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: .243 — fifth Percentile.

Hitters swung at 66% of Louie Varland’s pitches (86/131) with two-strikes over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 90th Percentile.

Louie Varland had a strike rate of 68% (280/411) over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 91st Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nestor Cortes has thrown elevated pitches 58% of the time (65/112) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Nestor Cortes allowed a slugging percentage of just .250 (15 Total Bases / 60 ABs) when he was behind in the count in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .582 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .129 (15-for-116) against Nestor Cortes on low fastballs since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .273 — 99th Percentile.

  
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