The Minnesota Twins (+100) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-120) on Sunday, September 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Twins vs White Sox Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Twins are 67-62 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 59-72 ATS.
Twins vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Twins vs White Sox Prediction for Today's Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Sunday's matchup with 52.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today
We've highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday's game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 38 of his last 51 games (+17.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+13.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 21 away games (+11.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday's game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 62 of his last 90 games (+30.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 63 of his last 92 games (+20.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 52 of his last 92 games (+18.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+15.50 Units / 33% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 72 of their last 129 games (+10.20 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 away games (+9.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 32 of their last 61 games (+6.15 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 72 of their last 133 games (+14.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.05 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.75 Units / 10% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 59-70 against the Run Line (-12.35 Units / -8.01% ROI).
- 67-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -2.09% ROI
- 61-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.95 Units / -1.38% ROI
- 58-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.25 Units / -6.48% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 59-72 against the Run Line (-13.85 Units / -8.89% ROI).
- 66-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.4 Units / -8.69% ROI
- 58-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.95 Units / -7.64% ROI
- 64-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 0.45% ROI
Dylan Bundy: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 70% of Dylan Bundy's pitches (333/473) with two-strikes this season – highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 61% – 100th Percentile.
Dylan Bundy has struck out just 11% (23/203) of left-handed batters he faced this season – 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 22% – first Percentile.
Dylan Bundy has a strike rate of 74% (352/473) in two strike counts this season – highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 66% – 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 51% (120/237) against Dylan Bundy with two-strikes this season – 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 41% – 99th Percentile.
Lucas Giolito: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lucas Giolito has allowed a slugging percentage of .559 (81 Total Bases / 145 ABs) on breaking pitches this season – highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: .366 – first Percentile.
Lucas Giolito has thrown his changeup 36% of the time (397/1,109) when he's behind in the count since the start of last season – highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% – 100th Percentile.
Lucas Giolito has allowed a slugging percentage of .835 (96 Total Bases / 115 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season – highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: .575 – 0 Percentile.
Lucas Giolito has allowed an OPS of .962 (318 PA's) against right-handed batters this season – highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: .710 – 0 Percentile.